2. Obama's inexperience in politics and life is working against him. Being a nice guy isn't a presidential qualification.
3. If McCain picks a great Vice President - like Colin Powell - the Reps have it in the bag.
4. Obama's VP pick will sink him right away unless he picks Hillary Clinton. She is the only Democrat with the power, experience and votes to bring home the prize. No one else comes close. Current Vice Presidential balloons demonstrate that Obama is clearly out of touch with political reality - see elitism point below.
5. We're off to war again - this time with Iran and we're saber rattling with Russia. Incumbent parties at time of war generally stay in place. Who wants to risk our troops to a new, inexperienced, President?
6. Barak and his wife's reported elitist statures are beginning to show through the veneer. Winning the Presidency is a down and dirty job; there's no getting around that.
7. Obama's trip to the Middle East and Europe, while certainly educational and fun, did nothing to lift his poll numbers. A quick visit does not experience make.
8. John Edwards woes aren't helping. Unless Condi Rice comes out of the closet in the next 60 days, that balance will stay decidedly against him.
9. The Jesus effect is wearing off. Obama's popularity peaked too early.
10. Ralph Nader is back. He will easily pick up 3 - 6% of Democratic votes which means Obama needs a double digit lead on election day. The ghost of 2000 isn't out of sight yet.
There you have it - 10 reasons.
Of course, I could be wrong.
Published by ButlerReport
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3 Comments
Post a CommentI love this article. HE IS PRESIDENT. rofl!
Well, well: Hope the writer of this blog is ready to eat a very large plate of crow. You were WRONG, Daly.
I love this essay. It's well written and well argued. However, I disagree with some of the assumptions.
1 - the percentage of people who won't vote for a person of color is not stated, and is perhaps inherently unknowable beyond mere estimations. But such estimations could never be more substantial than the numbers of Americans who would never vote for a Republican, ever. Until we know more precise numbers on both these variables, it's one unknown guess versus another unknown guess.
2 - the second comment, about Obama's inexperience, isn't really qualified. Exactly HOW is his lack of experience working against him? What constitutes lack of experience?
4 - Hillary Clinton's nomination to the VP spot could also HURT Obama. I, for one, would lose interest in voting for him. There are strong progressives and populists who can help him win, if he's smart enough to pick them.
10 - Nader is a nonissue. He has alienated the Greens, who were the bulk of his 2000 numbers..