2010-2011 College Bowl Picks; Spread Predictions NCAAF BCS

Michael Luchies
All spreads are according to current lines on Sportsbook.com (12/7/10)

For just BCS Bowl picks in greater detail check here

New Mexico Bowl: BYU(-12) vs. UTEP
Prediction: 42-21 BYU (BYU-12)
Why?: UTEP is 1-5 in their last 6, BYU is 5-2 in their last 7 and a much stronger team.

uDrove Humanitarian: Northern Illinois (-3, -105) vs. Fresno State (+3, -115)
Prediction: 24-21 Fresno State (Fresno State +3)
Why?: Northern Illinois controls the ground game, but Fresno has played tougher games and is more battle tested over the season. Fresno is coming off a victory over Illinois while NIU recently lost to Miami of Ohio.

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl: Ohio vs. Troy (-1.5)
Prediction: 35-24 Ohio (Ohio +1.5)
Why?: Ohio is 7-1 in their last eight, Troy is 3-3 in their last 6. Troy has a superior passing attack, but Ohio is the hotter team coming into December.

Beef 'O' Brady's St. Petersburg Bowl: Southern Mississippi vs. Louisville (-3.5)
Prediction: 35-28 Louisville (Louisville -3.5)
Why?:Louisville is not the hotter team by any means, but have played a tougher schedule and should be able to outlast Southern Miss.

MAACO Las Vegas Bowl: Utah vs. Boise State (-16.5)
Prediction: 52-21 Boise State (Boise State -16.5)
Why?: Boise State will make up for their loss against Nevada with a convincing victory over Utah, who is not the team we thought they were.

S.D. County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl: Navy vs. San Diego State (Spread not released, has game against Army remaining)
Prediction: Navy 28-14
Why?: Navy has given teams all they can handle the entire season with their offensive rushing attack (5th in the nation).

Sheraton Hawaii Bowl: Hawaii (-12.5) vs. Tulsa
Prediction: 45-28 Hawaii (Hawaii -12.5)
Why?: The overall over/under is at 72 because of Hawaii's offense, expect a good showing at home against Tulsa, who is in the top 20 of scoring, rushing and passing, but 84th in points against.

Little Ceasers Bowl: Florida International vs. Toledo (-2)
Prediction: 27-21 Toledo (Toledo -2)
Why?: Toledo is the better team (8-4). FIU started 0-4 and rebounded to go 6-6 overall against a weak Sun Belt conference.

AdvoCare V100 Independence Bowl: Air Force (-2.5) vs. Georgia Tech
Prediction: 24-17 Georgia Tech (Georgia Tech +2.5)
Why?: Bowl makers put the top two rushing offenses in the entire nation against each other in this matchup. Georgia Tech has thebetter defense, so I have to go with them in this matchup.

Champs Sports Bowl: West Virginia (-2.5) vs. NC State
Prediction: West Virginia 27-17 (West Virginia -2.5)
Why?: Great story for NC State this year, but West Virginia has won their last three while NC State lost to Maryland and Clemson in 2 of their last 4 contests, WVU is the stronger team.

Insight Bowl: Missouri (-1) vs. Iowa
Prediction: 27-20 Iowa (Iowa +1)
Why?: Iowa will come to play after failing to close out the season strong. The Big Ten was tougher than people think this season (three 10-1 teams) and Iowa nearly beat Wisconsin and beat top 10 ranked Michigan State.

Military Bowl Presented by Northrop Grumman: East Carolina vs. Maryland (-7.5)
Prediction: Maryland 35-14 (Maryland -7.5)
Why?: East Carolina is 1-4 in their last five, and Maryland has a much more capable defense.,

Texas Bowl: Illinois vs. Baylor (-2)
Prediction: 35-21 Baylor (Baylor -2)
Why?: Baylor is the better team and had the better season although they trailed off during the course of the season.

Valero Alamo Bowl: Oklahoma State (-6) vs. Arizona
Prediction: 41-21 (Oklahoma State -6)
Why?: Oklahoma State has far too much fire power for the once strong Arizona squad.

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl: Army vs. SMU (No line yet, Army has one remaining game)
Prediction: Army 24-21
Why?: Army is simply tougher. SMU did very well making a bowl, but their winning stops here.

New Era Pinstripe Bowl: Kansas St.(-2.5) vs. Syracuse
Prediction: 28-21 Syracuse (Syracuse +2.5)
Why?: Syracuse led by Delone Carter will be show that they are more than just a product of an easy Big East conference.

Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl: North Carolina (-2.5) vs. Tennessee
Prediction: 31-24 Tennessee (Tennessee +2.5)
Why?: The home game type nature of this game and the demise of UNC football will both play in the Vols favor, take Tennessee.

Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl: Nebraska (-13) vs. Washington
Prediction: 41-14 Nebraska (Nebraska -13)
Why?: This one should get ugly, Nebraska is much better than Washington and Taylor Martinez should be good to go in this contest against a Jake Locker-less Huskies team.

Meineke Car Care Bowl: South Florida vs. Clemson (-4.5)
Prediction: 20-14 South Florida (South Florida +4.5)
Why?: USF won 4 of their last 6 and nearly beat the BCS bound UCONN Huskies. Clemson is 2-3 in their last five contests and look like the weaker of the two teams at 6-6, although they come from the better conference.

Hyundai Sun Bowl: Notre Dame vs. Miami (-3, -115)
Prediction: 27-24 Notre Dame (Notre Dame +3)
Why?: Notre Dame finally looks like they are together as a team and should continue their winning streak.

AutoZone Liberty Bowl: Georgia (-7) vs. UCF
Prediction: 35-20 Georgia (Georgia -7)
Why?: A.J. Green and the Bulldogs offense is too much for UCF.

Chick-fil-A Bowl: South Carolina (-3,-115) vs. Florida State
Prediction: 38-24 South Carolina (South Carolina -3)
Why?: South Carolina will use their fire power to outscore Florida State. Good season for both teams, South Carolina is more battle tested.

TicketCity Bowl: Northwestern vs. Texas Tech (-9.5)
Prediction: 27-21 Texas Tech (Northwestern +9.5)
Why?: Another tough one, Northwestern has been free falling losing three of their last four, but they did beat Iowa. Texas Tech did have one big win against Missouri, but otherwise had a solid but lackluster season.

Outback Bowl: Florida (-7) vs. Penn State
Prediction: 42-17 Florida (Florida -7)
Why?: Both teams have inexperienced offense that are still young and improving, but Penn State is over-matched in this contest even against a Florida team in an off year.

Capital One Bowl: Alabama (-10.5) vs. Michigan State
Prediction: 31-27 Alabama (Michigan State +10.5)
Why?: Both teams have something to prove, but don't underestimate MSU. Alabama wins, but it stays close.

Gator Bowl: Michigan vs. Mississippi State (-6)
Prediction: 35-31 Mississippi State (Michigan +6)
Why?: One of the hardest games to pick, this could go either way depending on which offense gets on track first.

Rose Bowl Game Presented by VIZIO: Wisconsin (+3, -120) vs. TCU (-3, even)
Prediction: 27-21 TCU (TCU -3)
Why?: TCU defense too tough for Wisconsin, offense is capable of moving the ball on Badgers defense.

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: Connecticut vs. Oklahoma (-17)
Prediction: 31-17 Oklahoma (UCONN +17)
Why?: This is an awful matchup for a BCS game, but UCONN will use the ground game to make sure things don't get out of hand, and cover.

Discover Orange Bowl: Stanford (-3) vs. Virginia Tech
Prediction: 35-17 Stanford (Stanford -3)
Why?: Andrew Luck will lead Stanford to a convincing victory over the Hokies who rebounded nicely this season after two losses.

Allstate Sugar Bowl: Ohio State (-3, -115) vs. Arkansas (+3, -105)
Prediction: 28-21 Ohio State (Ohio State -3)
Why?: Buckeyes have too much talent overall to be contained by Arkansas although they may have a better quarterback in Mallett.

GoDaddy.com Bowl: Middle Tennessee vs. Miami (Ohio) (-2)
Prediction: 27-17 Miami (OH) (Miami -2)
Why?: 9-4 Miami (OH) should have no problem with a 6-6 MTSU team from the Sun Belt Conference, although MTSU has showed up in previous bowl games.

AT&T Cotton Bowl: LSU (-1) vs. Texas A&M
Prediction: 21-17 LSU (LSU -1)
Why?: Les Miles will pull another trick out of his hat when it counts the most.

BBVA Compass Bowl: Pittsburgh (-3) vs. Kentucky
Prediction: 31-13 Pittsburgh (Pittsburgh -3)
Why?: Sorry Kentucky, but any team that goes 2-6 in their own conference should not be bowl eligible.

Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl: Nevada (-9.5) vs. Boston College
Prediction: 35-10 Nevada (Nevada -9.5)
Why?: Nevada is for real, and Boston College is just happy to be in another bowl game.

Tostitos BCS National Championship Game: Oregon vs. Auburn (-3)
Prediction: 35-31 Auburn (Auburn -3)
Why?: I Honestly don't know if Cam Newton can be stopped, would rather pick Oregon but I have to go with my brain and not my gut on this one.

Published by Michael Luchies

Michael Luchies has a Bachelors of Science degree in Entrepreneurship from Badley University and is the current Manager of Membership Operations for the Collegiate Entrepreneurs' Organization. Michael was C...  View profile

7 Comments

Post a Comment
  • bamarichards12/31/2010

    wow....off to an awesome start with these pics.

  • Brad M12/29/2010

    Wow, are you in my pool b/c I used your picks and am 3-11 right now... Crazy stuff to be dead last out of over 60 people.

  • vt over stanford tyrod is the difference12/13/2010

    vt over stanford tyrod is the difference

  • Michael Luchies12/10/2010

    The OSU/Arkansas spread and line is directly under the Orange bowl pick, I have Ohio State -3 (28-21). Thank you for the views and comments.

  • Ben12/10/2010

    No. He picked Stanford. He missed the Sugar Bowl

    Ohio St. vs Arkansas

  • Paul W12/7/2010

    Retract above...found it, hidden spread among the ads :)

  • Paul W12/7/2010

    You missed the Discover Orange Bowl...whats your pick>

Displaying Comments

To comment, please sign in to your Yahoo! account, or sign up for a new account.