Barack Obama Has All the Momentum in This Democratic Race

D'Angelou
Say what you will about a Democratic Presidential nominee frontrunner, but if you insists that there is one, it is looking more and more like that candidate is named Barack Obama.

Although, the race is far from decided, the momentum, and more importantly, the votes are clearly in the favor of Senator Obama.

On Saturday night, February 9, 2008, Barack Obama had one of the more impressive nights of the 2008 Primary season. Obama won all three major primaries of the night. Those primary victories came from the states of Louisiana, Nebraska, and Washington.

And not only did he win, but he had dominating victories in all three states, with all projected victories coming with double digit margins of defeat of Hillary Clinton.

Those three victories made the delegate count much closer, and there is little reason to believe that this race is headed for anywhere but virtual tiebreaking session at the Democratic convention this summer in Denver.

Those three victories also denote one very important issue, and that is that Obama is appealing to a very diverse group of people, which would suggest that he is the more favorable candidate in a General Election.

Nebraska, Louisiana, and Washington all have very different electorates. Starting with Louisiana, where Barack won 53% to 39% (with 71% of the precincts reporting). Exit polls suggest that 49% of the Democratic voters were black and 46% of them were white. Fairly equal numbers but clearly not representative of the popular vote. Nonetheless, Obama won it by dominating the black vote more than Clinton dominated the White vote.

In Nebraska, Barack won 68% to 32%. However, the exit polls were virtually non-existent. However, the demographics of the state are 93% white and 5% black. So barring any devastating reports of the white turnout in Nebraska, Obama defeated Clinton in a state where race was in her favor, and there is no denying that race has been a factor in this election.

Then in Washington, where exit polls were also missing, the demographics are also in favor of whites. Whites represent 87% of the population and blacks represent 4%. This was probably Obama's biggest defeat of the night, where he doubled Clinton by a margin of 36-points, with a tally of 68% to 32%.

And Barack is favored to win the Beltway primary this Tuesday, which does not bode well for Clinton, who is not favored to win any states until March 4th. But by then, with the possibility of her having not won a single primary for a month, she may suffer Giuliani syndrome and lose all favor in states due to a lack of momentum.

Published by D'Angelou

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