Barack Obama Will Ride Wave of Black Voter Support to Win South Carolina Democratic Primary

The South Carolina Democratic primary is scheduled to be on Saturday, January 26, which is important because it is the final primary for the Democratic nominees before Super Tuesday on February 5 in which 22 states will vote on the same day. The winner of South Carolina will likely gain much momentum headed into Super Tuesday which will in all likelihood, decide who will win the party nominee.

Recent polls for the South Carolina Democratic primary are as follows:

McClatchy-MSNBC poll on Jan 22 results:

Obama 38% Clinton: 30% Edwards 19%

America Research Group poll:

Obama 45% Clinton 36% Edwards 12%

Although you really can't look much into polls, especially after the New Hampshire fiasco in which all the polls had Barack Obama ahead by a wide margin and he ended up losing to Hillary Clinton, the polls seem accurate this time around. Unless Hillary Clinton pulls some eye catching stunt like she did in New Hampshire when he showed her emotional side and cried, Obama should emerge victorious in New Hampshire, thanks to a strong vote from African American voters.

A win in South Carolina will only tighten the Democratic primary race and it will be anyone's guess of who will win between these two mighty candidates. If John Edwards does not win South Carolina which all indicators are that he won't, look for him to step down from the race and cast his support behind Barack Obama.

Should Hillary Clinton somehow win the South Carolina primary, it would be disastrous for Obama because it would mean that Hillary Clinton would have won the black vote. If Hillary wins the South Carolina primary, she will win in a landslide on Super Tuesday.

However, since the more likely scenario has Obama winning, it will tell us much about the rest of the election. Obama should gain an advantage in the Southern state Democratic primaries because of the strong African American presence in the South. Hillary Clinton will probably have much of her success in the west and northeast. She will probably also win Arkansas, her home state.