Congressional Races 2010: Kansas

Possibly vulnerable
KS-03 now open but was (D)
KS-04 now open but was (R) (probably will stay R)

District:KS-01
Location The western 3/4 of KS, bordering NE, OK, and CO map
Cook PVI R + 23
Representative Jerry Moran (R) Retiring to run for Senate
VoteView NA
First elected NA
2008 margin NA
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 30-69
Bush margin 2004 72-26
Current opponents 7 Republicans are vying for this seat, the 12th most Republican per Cook PVI (see the WIKI for a list). Only one Democrat: Alan Jilka
Demographics 61st most rural (47.6%)
Assessment Long shot. Jilka has raised little; several of the Republicans have raised over $200K.

District:KS-02
Location Eastern KS, except for Kansas City. Includes Topeka map
Cook PVI R + 9
Representative Lynn Jenkins (R)
VoteView NA
First elected 2008
2008 margin 51-46 over Nancy Boyda
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 43-55
Bush margin 2004 59-39
Current opponents There is a primary, but no Democrats are running.
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Jenkins seems safe, even if someone runs.

District:KS-03
Location Kansas City and suburbs map
Cook PVI R + 3
Representative Dennis Moore (D) Retiring
VoteView NA
First elected NA
2008 margin NA
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 51-48
Bush margin 2004 55-44
Current opponents At least five Republicans are running: Nick Jordan, Thomas Scherer, Patricia Barbieri-Lightner, Daniel Gilyeat, and John Rysavy. No Democrats are formally in, but some are considering
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Moore, who had close races early in his career, seemed safe. But as a open seat, this seems likely to go R. No one has raised much money yet, though, and the race is still shaking out.

District:KS-04
Location Eastern part of southern KS, bordering OK, including Wichita map
Cook PVI R + 14
Representative Todd Tiahrt (R) Retiring to run for Senate
VoteView NA
First elected NA
2008 margin NA
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 40-58
Bush margin 2004 64-34
Current opponents Republicans running include Dick Kelsey, Mike Pompeo, Wink Hartman Jim Anderson, and Jean Schodorf. Democrats: Raj Goyle and Robert Tillman (no site). Donald Betts may run as well.
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment At first glance, this looks like a long shot; but, prior to 2004, Tiahrt had several close races; and Betts, a state senator, has run before. Could be interesting. Goyle has raised $403K and spent little. Pompeo has raised $429K and spent $111K. Kelsey has raised a quarter million and spent most of it.

Sources:
House vote in 2008 from AOL
VoteView (1 = most liberal, 447 = most conservative)
Race Tracker
Obama vote by CD from Swing State (other stuff there too).
and my previous diaries.