Congressional Races 2010: Kentucky

District:KY-01
Location Southwestern KY, bordering IN, IL, MO and TN. map
Cook PVI R + 15
Representative Ed Whitfeld (R)
VoteView 286
First elected 1994
2008 margin 64-36 over Heather Ryan
2006 margin 60-40
2004 margin 67-33
Obama margin 37-62
Bush margin 2004 63-36
Current opponents Charles Hatchett (I could not find a site)
Demographics 11th most rural (63.5%), 29th lowest income (median = $30K), 58th fewest Latinos (1.5%)
Assessment Long shot. Whitfeld has raised $546K and spent $218K. No info on Hatchett.

District:KY-02
Location Central KY, bordering IN. map
Cook PVI R + 15
Representative Brett Guthrie (R)
VoteView 322.5
First elected 1994
2008 margin 53-47 over David Boswell
2006 margin 55-45
2004 margin 68-32
Obama margin 38-61
Bush margin 2004 65-34
Current opponents Ed Marksberry; no website yet, but he apparently just filed in late January.
Demographics 37th most rural (52.8%), 61st most Republican on Cook PVI, 70th most Whites (90.6%)
Assessment Guthrie ran well behind McCain, not a good sign. He may be a little bit vulnerable. But it's still probably going to be R. Guthrie has raised over $700K and spent $139K. No info on Marksberry.

District:KY-03
Location Louisville and suburbs, bordering INmap
Cook PVI D + 2
Representative John Yarmuth (D)
VoteView 132.5
First elected 2006
2008 margin 59-41 over Anne Northup
2006 margin 51-48
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 56-42
Bush margin 2004 51-49
Current opponents Larry Hausman, Todd Lally, Jeff Reetz, Jerry Durbin, Brooks Wicker.
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Looks safe. Yarmuth has raised over half a million and spent $172K. None of the Repubs have raised much.

District:KY-04
Location Northern KY, bordering IN, OH, and a tiny bit of WV map
Cook PVI R + 14
Representative Geoff Davis (R)
VoteView 322.5
First elected 2004
2008 margin 63-37 over Michael Kelly
2006 margin 52-43
2004 margin 54-44
Obama margin 38-60
Bush margin 2004 63-36
Current opponents John Waltz (looks quite progressive)
Demographics 26th fewest Latinos (1.1%), 14th most Whites (95.1%)
Assessment Long shot. Davis has raised over $750K and spent $407K; Waltz has raised about $50K and spent most of it.

District:KY-05
Location Southeastern KY, bordering VA, WV, and TN map
Cook PVI R + 16
Representative Harold Rogers (R) Not confirmed
VoteView 321
First elected 1980
2008 margin Unopposed
2006 margin 74-26
2004 margin Unopposed
Obama margin 31-67
Bush margin 2004 61-39
Current opponents Jim Holbert , David Prince , Ken Stepp
Demographics An unusual district. The most rural (78.7%), 2nd lowest income (median income = $22K) (only NY16 is lower), most White (97.1%), 36th fewest Blacks (1.1%), and 7th fewest Latinos (0.7%).
Assessment Long shot. Rogers has raised $270K and spent $170K. Not much info on Democrats

District:KY-06
Location Central KY, including Lexington map
Cook PVI R + 9
Representative Ben Chandler (D) Not confirmed
VoteView 211
First elected 2004
2008 margin 65-35 over John Larson
2006 margin 85-15 (vs. libertarian)
2004 margin 59-40
Obama margin 43-55
Bush margin 2004 58-41
Current opponents Matt Lockett, Andy Barr, Perry Barnes, John Kemper, George Pendergrass, Mike Templeman.
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Safe, unless Chandler doesn't run. But, although he hasn't formally announced, he's raised over half a million (and spent $100K) so it looks like he's running. Of the Repubs, Andy Barr has raised $186K and spent little.

Sources:
House vote in 2008 from AOL
VoteView (1 = most liberal, 447 = most conservative)
Race Tracker
Obama vote by CD from Swing State (other stuff there too).
and my previous diaries.