Congressional Races 2010, Rhode Island

The Series Continues

Peter Flom
see update

Rhode Island has 2 representatives, both D, primary 9/14

District:RI-01
Location Northern and eastern RI, bordering MA and CT map
Cook PVI D + 13
Representative Patrick Kennedy (D) Retiring
VoteView 89
First elected NA
2008 margin NA
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 65-33
Bush margin 2004 36-62
Current opponents Democrats: David Cicciline, Bill Lynch. David Segal; Republicans: John Loughlin,
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Safe for whichever Democrat wins; it's an overwhelmingly D district. Cicciline has $900K COH, Lynch about $100K (but debt), Segal about $80K, Loughlin about $100K
SSP rating: Likely D
My rating: Safe

District:RI-02
Location Most of the Rhode Island map
Cook PVI D + 9
Representative Jim Langevin (D)
VoteView 146
First elected 2000
2008 margin 70-30 over Mark Zaccaria
2006 margin 73-27 against an independent
2004 margin 75-21
Obama margin 61-37
Bush margin 2004 41-57
Current opponents A primary challenge from Betsy Donnigan, and then either Zaccaria again or Michael Gardiner.
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Safe. Langevin has $500K COH, Dennigan $150K but self-financed; Zaccaria little. No info on Gardiner

Sources:
House vote in 2008 from WaPo
VoteView (ranked from 1 for most liberal to 447 for most conservative; more than 435 because some districts had more than one rep in the 110th congress)
Race Tracker
Obama vote by CD from Swing State
National Atlas for maps
FEC

Published by Peter Flom

I am a statistician, working with a wide variety of clients, mostly researchers in psychology, education, medicine, social sciences and other fields. I also have given talks and written articles on learning...  View profile

2 Comments

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  • Harriet Steinberg8/1/2010

    I'm beginning to worry about my favorites.

  • Jenny Heart8/1/2010

    Well done as always Peter!

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