Current Presidential Polls in North Carolina
Current Polling Data Reveals Upset for McCain Likely in November
Pollster.com's poll of polls has a less convincing lead for Obama, 48.5-47.1. The most important piece of information comes, not from Obama's current polling numbers, but the trend this poll shows: since February 2008, Barack Obama has not had a month of decreased polling numbers, whereas John McCain has yet to have a month of poll growth. This trend can spell doom for John McCain, who, for the most part, has left North Carolina alone. Barack Obama's consistent attention to the "Tar heel State," and other past Republican strongholds is showing, not only in local polls, but in national polls as well, where he strong lead in the CNN electoral college map, which shows individual states polling data, and predicts which candidate will receive each state's electoral college votes. If the trends in the data continue as they have, Barack Obama may become the first Democratic candidate for president to carry North Carolina since Jimmy Carter in 1976.
Since the polls have started calling North Carolina for Barack Obama, McCain has spent more time and money on the "Tar Heel" state. Since yesterday, I have seen at least four ads for McCain (the Ayers/economy ad).
Yet, for every McCain ad, and rally, there are at least 4 more Obama ads, and even more rallies. The day after the Vice-Presidential debate, Obama had a rally in downtown Greensboro, and the sheer number of his supporters that showed up covered several city blocks.
The increase in spending by McCain on advertising in North Carolina has yet to yield any results, as he faces an uphill battle in a state that rarely leans towards the Democrats. It may take some time to see an increase in McCain's polling numbers, if there are any. Obama's entrenched grassroots campaign and advertising has had a head start of almost 8 months. North Carolina may gain national attention come November if McCain's new strategy fails, and North Carolina becomes a blue state, whether or not it will, remains to be seen, but one thing remains certain, if the trend continues, Obama has a chance to not only win this state, but win big!
Sources:
"NC Poll: Obama Takes Lead in NC." John W. Pope Civitas Institute
"2008 North Carolina General Election." Pollster.com
"Ambition." Youtube
"CNN Electoral Map Calculator." CNN.com
Published by Jacob Mohr
I am a recent college graduate with a degree in Psychology and a minor in History. I currently work Loss Prevention with Best Buy as a temporary gig. View profile
The Reasonable Barack ObamaThis is an editorial piece about why I think Barack Obama is so popular as a presidential candidate. 
Barack Obama: Fired Up and Ready to GoBarack Obama, introduced by former Four Star General "Tony" McPeak, rallies potential Iowa caucus-goers on December 28 in Davenport, Iowa.- John McCain: He Declared Iraq a Just and Necessary Success While Also Criticizing ItThink George W. Bush did a bang-up job in Iraq, but can't vote him in for a third term. Yes, you can! Just vote for John McCain. It's like voting for Bush a third time.
- Barack Obama Addresses Newton, Iowa, Crowd on December 30Barack Obama (D, IL)spoke to a crowd of would-be caucus-goers in Newton, Iowa at the Newton Senior High School on December 30th, and obliquely rebutted some of the charges being aimed at him by other front-runners in...
Senator John McCain Heroically Grants a Dying Mother Her Final WishSenator John McCain helped bring a soldier home from the Marines in time to say goodbye to his dying mother.
- New Hampshire Exit Poll Data Explains Victories by Hillary Clinton and John McCain
- Election Polling: Are We in for a Big Surprise?
- McCain Vs. Obama, Clinton Vs. McCain, General Election Matchups, Recent Presidenti...
- Presidential Polls in North Carolina
- Barack Obama Outraises John McCain in June
- North Carolina Presidential Poll Results
- Triumph for John McCain; Mike Huckabee Concedes; Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton...
6 Comments
Post a CommentNice work Jacob, NC could be a close state as it turns out!
I think anytime you draw from polls, you'll see some bias and differences of opinions. The attention paid to NC this year is definitely indicative of a vote that matters and is still up in the air, with McCain trying to win back a historically red state. It'll be an exciting election, that's for sure.
I'm keeping an eye on the polls, too, even though I've seen varying results when it comes to the actual election, making me wonder about the validity of polls. Fascinating article, love reading about how things are going in various parts of the country.
The poll results can vary so much depending upon who collected them, what questions they asked, and the statistical analyses used to aggregate them, so there are inevitably going to be some minor discrepancies. Thanks, Jacob, for providing a nice, concise snapshot of recent trends.
One thing's for sure- every North Carolinian's vote will count this year!!!!! Get out and vote!!!
got a link to this poll? i would like to read it. all the polls on that i listed were current as of 10/14. I dont think any poll you can find will say either one has a major lead, but it is clear that north carolina's tendency to vote for republican candidates is no longer a forgone conclusion.
There is another poll taken the day after the last debate and it was conducted using a random sampling from all 100 of NC's counties. The statistical guidelines and demographics were all equal. 400 respondents came down to a toss with each candidate getting 46% and the remaining 8% were uncommitted with 3% of the uncommitted 8% "leaning" toward McCain and just under 1% leaning toward Obama...