The problems in this section were designed to be similar to problems from past versions of the Casualty Actuarial Society's Exam 3L and the Society of Actuaries' Exam MLC. They use original exam questions as their inspiration - and the specific inspiration for each problem is cited so as to give students a chance to see the original. All of the original problems are publicly available, and students are encouraged to refer to them. But all of the values, names, conditions, and calculations in the problems here are the original work of Mr. Stolyarov.
Original Problems and Solutions from The Actuary's Free Study Guide
Problem S3L17-1.
Similar to Question 13 from the Casualty Actuarial Society's Spring 2008 Exam 3L.
The future lifetimes of bald chimpanzees can be modeled by the survival function
s(x) = ((94 - x)/94)3.1. Find ė44, the expected future lifetime of a 44-year-old bald chimpanzee.
Solution S3L17-1. We use the formula ėx = 0∞∫tpxdt from Section 10. We need to find tp44 = s(44+t)/s(44) = ((94 - 44 - t)/94)3.1/((94 - 44)/94)3.1 = ((50 - t)/94)3.1/((50)/94)3.1 = ((50 - t)/50)3.1.
In determining the upper bound for our integral, we need to recognize that bald chimpanzees do not live indefinitely. In fact, no bald chimpanzee lives past the age of 94, since s(94) = 0. In determining the future lifetime of a chimpanzee already aged 44, we need to take into account the fact that the most this chimpanzee will live is 94 - 44 = 50 years. Thus, the upper bound of our integral is 50.
Thus, ė44 = 050∫((50 - t)/50)3.1dt = (50 - t)4.1/[4.1(50)3.1]│050 = (50)4.1/[4.1(50)3.1] = 50/4.1 = ė44 = about 12.19512195 years.
Problem S3L17-2.
Similar to Question 14 from the Casualty Actuarial Society's Spring 2008 Exam 3L.
This question uses the Illustrative Life Table, which can be found here.
In the Illustrative Life Table, the following adjustments are made, whereby every adjusted value of qx is replaced by the value of qx*.
q24* = 3q24
q25* = (1/2)q25
q26* = q24
q27* = 8q5
qx* = (1/2)qxfor 28 ≤ x ≤ 30.
Find 2│5q24 using the modified values (qx*).
Solution S3L17-2. From the Illustrative Life Table, we know the following:
q5 = 0.00098
q24 = 0.00118
q25 = 0.00122
q28 = 0.00139
q29 = 0.00146
q30 = 0.00153
Thus,
q24* = 3q24 = 0.00354
q25* = (1/2)q25 = 0.00061
q26* = q24 = 0.00118
q27* = 8q5 = 0.00784
q28* = (1/2)q28 = 0.000695
q29* = (1/2)q29 = 0.00073
q30* = (1/2) q30 = 0.000765
We need to figure out 2│5q24 = [s(26)-s(31)]/s(24) = [s(26│24) - s(31│24)]/s(24│24).
(That is, we can modify our survival function to s(x│24). This is the survival function for all lives that have survived to age 24. So s(24│24) = 1.)
Moreover, s(26│24) and s(31│24) are simple to find, since we already know the probabilities qx*.
s(26│24) = (1 - q24*)(1 - q25*) = (1 - 0.00354)(1 - 0.00061) = s(26│24) = 0.9958521594
s(31│24) = (1 - q24*)(1 - q25*)(1 - q26*)(1 - q27*)(1 - q28*)(1 - q29*)(1 - q30*) =
0.9958521594(1 - 0.00118)(1 - 0.00784)(1 - 0.000695)(1 - 0.00073)(1 - 0.000765) =
s(31│24) = 0.9847190973.
Thus, [s(26│24) - s(31│24)]/s(24│24) = (0.9958521594 - 0.9847190973)/1 = 2│5q24 =about 0.0111330621
Problem S3L17-3.
Similar to Question 15 from the Casualty Actuarial Society's Spring 2008 Exam 3L.
Fuzzy cucumber plants have the following survival function:
s(x) = exp[-99x130]. Find the force of mortality µx for fuzzy cucumber plants.
Solution S3L17-3. We use the formula µx = -s'(x)/s(x).
-s'(x) = -[-99x130]'exp[-99x130] = 99*130x129exp[-99x130] = 12870x129exp[-99x130]
Thus, µx = -s'(x)/s(x) = (12870x129exp[-99x130])/exp[-99x130] = µx = 12870x129
Problem S3L17-4.
Similar to Question 16 from the Casualty Actuarial Society's Spring 2008 Exam 3L.
Ordinary talking phytoplankton have the following life table associated with them:
x.........lx
53.......10000
54.......9954
55.......8312
Use the uniform distribution of deaths assumption for fractional ages to find 0.3│0.9q53.6 for ordinary talking phytoplankton. Do not round your answers at any step. Fractional answers are possible.
Solution S3L17-4. We use the formula t│uqx = (s(x + t) - s(x + t + u))/s(x) from Section 2.
So 0.3│0.9q53.6 = (s(53.9) - s(54.8))/s(53.6)
By age 53.6 years, we assume that 0.6 of the phytoplankton to die in the 54th year will have died. Thus, 0.6(10000 - 9954) = 27.6 phytoplankton have died and thus 10000 - 27.6 = 9972.4 are alive at age 53.6. So s(53.6) = 9972.4.
By age 53.9 years, we assume that 0.9 of the phytoplankton to die in the 54th year will have died.
Thus, 0.9(10000 - 9954) = 41.4 phytoplankton have died and thus 10000 - 41.4 = 9958.6 are alive at age 53.9. So s(53.9) = 9958.6.
By age 54.8 years, we assume that 0.8 of the phytoplankton to die in the 55th year will have died.
Thus, 0.8(9954 - 8312) = 1313.6 phytoplankton have died and thus 9954 - 1313.6 = 8640.4 are still alive at age 54.8. So s(54.8) = 8640.4.
Hence, 0.3│0.9q53.6 = (s(53.9) - s(54.8))/s(53.6) = (9958.6 - 8640.4)/9972.4 = about 0.1321848301.
Problem S3L17-5.
Similar to Question 5 from the Casualty Actuarial Society's Spring 2007 Exam 3.
This question uses the Illustrative Life Table, which can be found here.
In the Illustrative Life Table, find 100004│1q35.
Solution S3L17-5. We use the formula t│uqx = (s(x + t) - s(x + t + u))/s(x) from Section 2.
So 4│1q35 = (s(39) - s(40))/s(35) = (s(39│35) - s(40│35))/s(35│35)
s(35│35) = 1
s(39│35) = (1 - q35)(1 - q36)(1 - q37)(1 - q38) =
(1 - 0.00201)(1 - 0.00214)(1 - 0.00228)(1 - 0.00243) = 0.9911693541
s(40│35) = (1 - q35)(1 - q36)(1 - q37)(1 - q38)(1 - q39) = 0.9911693541*(1 - 0.0026) = 0.9885923048.
Thus, 4│1q35 = 0.9911693541 - 0.9885923048 = about 0.0025770403.
See other sections of The Actuary's Free Study Guide for Exam 3L.
Published by G. Stolyarov II
G. Stolyarov II is a science fiction novelist, independent essayist, poet, amateur mathematician, composer, author, and actuary. View profile
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