All right. That's twice we've been in the middle of writing about our free NFL picks and something has gone wrong and the information has disappeared. So, we're running out of time and instead of our usual information we provide to you each week, this is going to be the shortest NFL expert picks page yet for us. All we'll do is throw out our free NFL picks and about a sentence or two about the game instead of 2 paragraphs.
Oh, and real quick, just to recap last week we ended up being 8-6 overall. Definitely not great, but due to all the injuries this year to the teams who are usually dominant, the season is full of parity. So we'll take the winning record and build on our 44-30 overall stats for every game. However, if you've been subscribing to our newsletters then you've enjoyed a modest 21-6 record, which is a nice 78% winning percentage. We'll take that any day of the week!
So if you're interested in taking advantage of these then head over to the Best NFL Picks Free website and we'll send you out the newsletters before games. Alright, enough of the plugs, let's take a look at the week 6 matchups.
Oakland at New Orleans (N.O. -8)(47)
Well, if New Orleans can keep from turning the ball over 400 times then they shouldn't have a problem winning this game. Since Oakland is trying to learn the new coaching ways of Tom Cable and coming off the bye they haven't had a chance to implement his style into a real game. For that we'll take New Orleans, but the line of 8 is a little iffy. Eh, let's take the Saints and lay the points.
New Orleans 31 Oakland 17
Baltimore at Indianapolis (Indy -4.5)(39.5)
What do you say to a team that has one of the worst running defenses in the league, and is 0-2 at home? Don't overlook this Ravens team. Good thing the Colts will be able to load the line and pressure Joe Flacco. We'll take the Colts and their 5-1 record against Baltimore in their last 6.
Indianapolis 28 Baltimore 24
Cincinnati at NY Jets (NY -6)(45.5)
Okay, now I know everyone and their mom is picking the Jets here right? We also said we weren't going to pick the Bengals the rest of the year until Chris Henry came back because the team just isn't the same unless they have 3 good wideouts. Well guess what, he's back, and it was evident the passing game is different. We're picking the Bengals for the upset here because even though their running D sucks, Thomas Jones won't go crazy.
Cincinnati 31 NY Jets 24
Carolina at Tampa Bay (T.B.-1.5)(36.5)
We have no idea why people are picking Tampa in this game except for maybe the fact that they're playing at home. Garcia is back in the lineup, but the Panthers have gone 10-2 against the Bucs over the last 6 years. That's enough for us.
Carolina 24 Tampa Bay 20
Detroit at Minnesota (Min -13)(45.5)
Probably the easiest pick of the week, usually is the upset. Seriously, everything points to Minnesota including the fact that Jon Kitna probably won't be playing. We've always like Orlovsky better, and we hear that both him and Drew Stanton (Michigan State) will be sharing the duties if Kitna doesn't play. Strange game, but it all comes back to defense and Detroit doesn't have any.
Minnesota 34 Detroit 16
Chicago at Atlanta (Chi-3)(43.5)
When we first saw this game come up we were all over the Falcons coming away with the win. Then we saw all the trends and the Bears own them. Taking into consideration that they are 5-0 ATS when playing Atlanta and 8-1 in their last 9 we'll stick with the Bears. How are the Falcons going to run against this D?
Chicago 24 Atlanta 14
Miami at Houston (Hou -3)(44.5)
Listen, when we first saw this game we thought, "How in the world can the choke team be favored by 3 to a team that just beat San Diego for probably the biggest upset of the week?" Then as we ventured out and realized that Miami is 1-11 in their last 12 games on the road and Houston should be 5-0 ATS at home in their last 5 instead of 4-1 it made it all clear. However, we'll take the Dolphins D over the Texans offense in this game. Not to mention Ronnie Brown having a huge day.
Miami 28 Houston 21
St. Louis at Washington (Wash -13)(44)
Anyone can argue with us, but we believe that the Washington Redskins are the best team in football right now. Sure, Tennessee is 5-0, the Giants are undefeated, but neither one has played the schedule the Redskins have through week 5. Now they get a cupcake and can relax a little. Easy game, but I'm not sure they will cover. We'll say no.
Washington 24 St. Louis 13
Jacksonville at Denver (Den -3.5)(48.5)
Unless Denver can figure out a way to stop the run then this game could wind up looking like that Kansas City game at Invesco Field. Listen, the Jags beat them 23-14 in 2007 and until the Broncos prove they have a running game worth noting a team like Jacksonville will take advantage of mistakes. We'll take the upset here and take the points as well. The Broncos are one play and one missed field goal away from being 2-3.
Jacksonville 31 Denver 28
Philadelphia at San Francisco (Phi -5)(42.5)
We don't even know what to say about this game. Philly really should be 4-1 and not 2-3, but hey what are you going to do. Now they have to travel 3,000 miles out to San Francisco and try to come back home with a 50-50 record. This is a scary game for them and one that could really set them too far behind the rest of the NFC East. However we feel that with Kevin Curtis back, DeSean Jackson, Hank Baskett, L.J. Smith, and Reggie Brown to throw to there should be plenty of scoring this week.
Philadelphia 34 San Francisco 24
Dallas at Arizona (Dal -5)(50)
Boy, here's another interesting game that has the makings of upset written all over it. Dallas has a slew of injuries in their secondary and defense. It's amazing to think that they are even favored in this game considering Arizona is 4-1 against them in their last 5 playing at home. We want to take Dallas after their last two weeks of mediocre play, but Arizona might pull this out. So we'll at least take them to cover. Heck we'll take them to win.
Arizona 28 Dallas 27
Green Bay at Seattle (Sea -3)(46.5)
We hate looking at any trends with Favre gone, and quite frankly after Seattle absolutely stuck up the joint in New York, we wouldn't take them favored for anything. Which of course means they will probably win this week. As a team though the Packers are 4-1 against the Hawks in their last 5. It's enough to take the Packs with Rodgers playing.
Green Bay 23 Seattle 17
New England at San Diego (S.D. -5.5)(44.5)
Alright, for weeks I've been talking high about the Chargers and one week they prove me right and the next it's like they don't know where they are during the game. Again they piddle around the first half then try to come on late. So even though they are favored in this game we're taking the Pats. The history, the feud, whatever, who cares. Until they can prove to play for 4 quarters they deserve to lose these close games. They're much better then what they are showing everyone.
New England 24 San Diego 16
New York Giants at Cleveland (NY -8)(43)
TheGiants look good with wins over three teams that are 1-12 and beating the Redskins the first real game under Zorn's offensive scheme. I still am not buying the hype. Come back to me in about week 12 and we'll see how they fare at Pittsburgh, Dallas at home, at Philly, and home against Baltimore before traveling to Arizona. They toughen out that schedule and we'll say they are contenders for a repeat. The Browns are 8-1 against the spread at home in their last 9 and 7-2 straight up. This could be a trap game with the Browns having an extra week to prepare.
NY Giants 24 Cleveland 21
Alright, that's it for our free NFL picks this week. Good luck and if you want our NFL expert picks that can include over/unders as well then read about signing up below.
Last Week: 8-6
Season: 44-30
ATS LW: 6-7-1
Season: 37-36-1
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Published by Michael Grisso
"It took me fifteen years to discover that I had no talent for writing, but I couldn't give it up because by that time I was too famous."~Robert Benchley View profile
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