Global Warming Numbers Wrong

NASA Admits Error; 1934 is Warmest Year

captdallas2
Steve McIntyre, a statistician and a global warming skeptic recently set an email to the Goddard Institute of Space Science (GISS) noting an apparent error in the US annual temperature record. The error was due to incorrect correction for newer measurement instruments deployed in recent years. GISS acknowledged the error and now 1934 is the warmest year on record not 1998.

The error was relatively small, on the order of 0.2 degrees Centigrade. In the grand scheme of global warming that is an enormous error. Realclimate.org, a blog for climate scientists, addressed the error in a post mentioning that while the error means that the temperature records for the US will change, the global mean temperature is not affected.

The correction in the US temperature records may be minor but is creating quite a stir in the climate change debate. While real climate views this as a tempest in a teapot, the skeptics view is that more corrections are likely.

With McIntyre's latest find, an air of intrigue is added to the debate. Climateaudit.org, McIntyre's website has been attacked and access is denied to all. This is not the first attempted sabotage of the site, but thus far the most successful.

What does this mean to global warming followers? That the science may not be settled. The enormous amount a data collected to determine millions of years of climate history is now suspect. Proxy data, data from glacial ice cores, tree rings, sea sediment and other sources, are use to build pre-historical temperature reconstructions. Averaging all these proxies is a huge statistical process. Michael Mann, the climate scientist credited with the famous hockey stick chart used in the press so often to illustrate the rapid rise in global temperatures, is not a statistician.

The discovery of the error in the US historical temperature record does not mean that global warming is not happening or that man's activities have no impact on global climate. It does mean that predicting temperature and sea level rise a hundred years in the future is not a simple task. See the Realclimate and Climateaudit (once the site is online again) to follow the story.

Published by captdallas2

Florida Keys life inspires many to artistic endeavor. CaptDallas2 is no exception. Writing songs, music and articles fills his time off the water. From boating to how to wipe your butt, the politically in...  View profile

6 Comments

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  • JustMeof38/21/2007

    Well written article

  • Rick Madal8/15/2007

    Great Scientists such as Al Gore and Leonardo DiCaprio contribute to Global Warming by shooting off their mouths. Lets not forget the Great scientist Ted Danson, back in the late 80's or early 90's predicted the death of the oceans in 10 years. If there is any truth to global warming other than cyclical trends (in the 70's the new ice age was being predicted), it may not be man made or preventable, so why not study ways in which to adapt and prepare.

  • Jamie K. Wilson8/15/2007

    "It does mean that predicting temperature and sea level rise a hundred years in the future is not a simple task." Exactly. Which is why I get so irked when great scientists like Al Gore talk about global warming as if it's as proven as the sun rising. We simply don't know what we don't know.

  • Zac Wassink8/14/2007

    the plot thickens with your global warming articles. i love these.

  • Peter G. Quinn Phd8/13/2007

    I trust men of the calibre of Hansen will handle this responsibly and it is to be hoped that the great, unproven CO2 promotion will be made clear and the proof, if any, that it isthe anthropgenic cause of global warming????

  • Charlotte Kuchinsky8/13/2007

    This ought to stir up some controversy for you. . .I love it!

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