Michael Worobey, an assistant professor of ecology and evolutionary biology at The University of Arizona in Tucson, and colleagues investigated how the HIV got to the US. Their study titled ""The emergence of HIV/AIDS in the Americas and beyond," shows that the virus HIV that caused the epidemic of AIDS in The United States came (with a high degree of probability) from Haiti in or around 1969, a lot earlier of what was thought until today.
Previous thought on HIV spreading the US was that the epidemic of AIDS started in California in earlier 1980s. The new discovery by Worobey changes completely what has been known as the "Patient Zero" theory.
Previous research on AIDS done by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) suggested that AIDS in the US spread in from one man in California who was dubbed as Patient O (Oh), for "Out of California."
Worobey and colleagues took archived blood samples of 5 early HIV patients to reveal the date of HIV arrival to the United States. All these 5 early HIV patients came from Haiti and had recently migrated to the United States. In addition of these 5 early HIV Haitian patients around 100 more blood samples obtained worldwide from earlier HIV patients were also analyzed. All these early sample contained a strain of HIV known as subtype B.
Researchers used a technique used in evolutionary biology that utilizes complex statistical formulae to construct a tree. It is some how like building your ancestry tree but on a bigger scale.
From these complex analysis (known as Bayesian Markov Monte Carlo phylogenetic analysis, Bayesian MCMC method, and Bayesian molecular clock method, among others) a tree can be built that traces the origin of HIV spreading in the US and beyond. This what Worobey and Colleagues did.
All this complex analysis concluded with a high degree of certainty that Haiti was like a bridge in the spreading of HIV from Africa, where it originated, to the Americas and specifically into the United States. As a matter of fact, if you are into statistics they found that the probability that the virus went from Africa directly to the US was 0.003 (very low) while the route was Africa to Haiti then the US yielded a probability factor of 99.8 per cent.
Also it definitely proves the fact that HIV came to the US earlier than it was thought, that is, in the late 60s and not in the earlier 80's as previously believed. The Patient O theory is definitely disproved with this study's analysis.
The full study can be downloaded in its entirety here. Once you get there go to Full text and download it. You will need Adobe Acrobat to read it.
Source:
Worobey et al 2007. The emergence of HIV/AIDS in the Americas and beyond. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 10.1073/pnas.0705329104 (November 1 issue). URL: http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/0705329104v2?
Published by R. Bourne, Ph.D.
Ph.D. Food and Nutrition. MBA. R. Bourne writes mainly about Health and Wellness, Alternative Medicine and Healing, Nutrition, Dieting and Food Science and Technology. He has been writing online content... View profile
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