Home Run Averages and Steroids: The Numbers

Statsman
Home Run Average is calculated out just like batting average, except you substitute home runs (HR's) for hits. So home runs divided by official at bats equals a player's home run average.

This is a simple way to determine who the best home run hitters in baseball are. In 2006, Jim Thome of the Chicago White Sox had 42 HR's in 490 at bats. So his home run average was .086. That was the 5th best home run average in baseball last season.

Home run average is not just another way of measuring slugging percentage (SLG). Last year Albert Pujols of the St. Louis Cardinals led baseball in SLG at .671. David Ortiz of the Boston Red Sox SLG percentage last season was .636. So Pujol's was .035 ahead of Big Papi in SLG, but Papi had a better home run average (.096) last season than Pujols (.092). So David Ortiz was a better HR hitter last season than was Albert Pujols.

Who were the best HR hitters in baseball last year? Here are the top ten home run average players in baseball for 2006:

1) Ryan Howard (Philadelphia Phillies) - .100
2) David Ortiz (Boston Red Sox) - .096
3) Travis Hafner (Cleveland Indians) - .093
4) Albert Pujols (St. Louis Cardinals) - .092
5) Jim Thome (Chicago White Sox) - .086
6) Frank Thomas (Oakland A's) - .084 (now with Toronto Blue Jays)
6) Lance Berkman (Houston Astros) - .084
8) Jason Giambi (New York Yankees) - .083
9) Jermaine Dye (Chicago White Sox) - .082
10) Carlos Beltran (New York Mets) - .080

What is generally a good number for home run average? Anything above .060 is good. Anything above .070 and you are one of the best HR hitters of all time. Occasionally player's go above .100 for a season, as Ryan Howard did last year. That is very good.

When Barry Bonds of the San Francisco Giants hit 73 HR's in 2001 his home run average was an unworldly .153. And when Mark McGwire hit 70 HR's in 1998 his HR average was .138.

Who are the best home run average hitters of all time? Surprisingly Babe Ruth is not number one. Here is the top ten list current through the end of the 2006 season:

1) Mark McGwire - .094
2) Babe Ruth - .085
3) Barry Bonds - .077 (active)
4) Jim Thome - .074 (active)
5) Albert Pujols - .072 (active)
6) Ralph Kiner - .071
6) Manny Ramirez - .071 (active)
8) Sammy Sosa - .070 (active)
8) Harmon Killebrew - .070
10) Alex Rodriguez - .069 (active)

Notice anything about the list? Six of the all time top ten hone run average hitters are still active. And Mark McGwire has been retired for just six years. Active players just missing the list include Ken Griffey (.068), Carlos Delgado (.067), Richie Sexson (.065), and Mike Piazza (.063). Recently retired players just missing the list include Jose Canseco (.066), Juan Gonzalez (.066), and Albert Belle (.065).

Why are so many of the best HR hitters of all time active, or recently retired? We have all heard the reasons. The new ballparks are smaller. The pitching is watered down. The ball is juiced. We now have a team in the majors, the Colorado Rockies, that plays its home games a mile in the air (Coors Field). But looking at the list we all know the real reason.

The use of performance enhancing drugs, particularly steroids. Three of the top ten home run average players of all time have been directly linked to steroid use. And two more players, Canseco and Belle, who just miss making the list are also directly linked to steroid use.

Home run average is a simple way to determine who the best home run hitters in baseball are. Looking at the list, and the number of players on the list who are either directly or indirectly linked to steroid use, it also might be a way of pointing out which players might be cheating.

Published by Statsman

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8 Comments

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  • Summer Banks6/6/2007

    To me it is a big let down for the fans. I have never been a big baseball fan, but as a shot putter, it was horrid to hear about world record holders testing positive. It makes kids believe that steroids are the only way to win. Great article!!!

  • R. M. Dubuc5/21/2007

    Very interesting article!

  • freakmamma5/7/2007

    I see a lot of steroid use and abuse; anything not done in modeation will eventually cme back to haunt you but from where I am sitting, it doesn;t seem like fair odds to those who choose to stay natural. In regards to body building, that is an individual choice that is made, you aren't playing on a team. So I'll toss this question out to you - do you think, personally, that when a few members use gear it puts pressure on others from the team to do the same to try and 'keep up'?

  • Halina Z.5/4/2007

    Something tells me I'll learn a lot about baseball if I keep reading your articles.....I am completely clueless about this sport even now. Even my football knowledge is better!

  • Brian Joura5/4/2007

    I think the Pujols connection was found out to be without merit, which is why I used the word credible. I hardly think because some people have admitted steroid use is hardly a reason to indict others. Anyway, I came across this link that I thought you might appreciate. http://baseballanalysts.com/archives/2007/05/was_the_1990s_h.php

  • Brian Joura5/3/2007

    I enjoyed this article but I'm not sure I'm comfortable with the "guilty until proven innocent" undercurrent. Jim Thome and Albert Pujols have never had credible steroid accusations rendered upon them. Until we're presented with hard evidence, I think they deserve to be rewarded for their hard work at their craft.

  • Jeanne Marie Kerns5/3/2007

    Great write :-)

  • Scott Schlimmer5/3/2007

    Interesting article. Naturally, the Home Run Average is going to biased towards guys who walk a lot. Somebody who hits 10 homeruns in 100 plate appearances but walks 50 times will have a great average, while a guy who hits 10 homeruns in 100 plate appearances but gets 50 singles won't look so good. But Mark McGwire wasn't that big of a walk guy. Looking at his year-by-year stats, the roid advantage is tough to miss. He did hit 49 in 1987 when he was 23. Not sure if he was roiding then. http://www.baseball-reference.com/m/mcgwima01.shtml

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