As a brief recap, the Iraq Conflict stooped dramatically during the 2006 year because of a decrease in direct American involvement. With America taking more of a general policing role and the Iraqi government fundamentally trying to take over (a task for which it was ill prepared) an explosion of violence ensued following the bombing of the Askariya Mosque. Even with Islam's slew of self professed "holiest sites" and its inability to remain numerically consistent (with several Imams referring to Mecca and Medina both as the "first most important sites" in Islam, followed by Jerusalem which is the second), the Askariya Mosque is a particularly important site to Shi'ites.
In Shi'a beliefs this is where the father and grandfather Imams of the Mahdi are laid to rest - and it is thanks to him that the Islamic apocalypse (that Ahmadinejad suggested would have been last year around August) will usher in, destroying all non-Muslim governments only to replace them with a centralized Caliphate. Of course there is the great rift between Sunnis and Shi'a who dispute over which sect exactly will rule over this Caliphate.
The United States continued to take an inactive stance on the conflict that continued to grow between Shi'ites and Sunnis as the "war" shifted and lost its initial focus - insurgencies were replaced by Militias, militias begat Death Squads who in turn produced new insurgency groups. In the chaos of all of this, the Mahdi Army was allowed to establish itself as a major, threatening power, even dominating blocs of government similar to the terrorist Hezbollah in Lebanon.
In all of this, al-Qaeda in Iraq continued to establish itself as a valuable and viable alternative government. In the chaos that was the nation, a semblance of order in Diyala and Anbar would be sufficient, even if under the strict Sharia interpretations of these neo-Taliban adherents. As time progressed however, and mass graves continue to pile, teachers continued to disappear, and the usually secular Iraqis continued to voice their protest to Sharia, the back of the camel was proverbially broken by the Baghdad Security Plan's straw.
In effect, the Plan called for a redrawing of the Rules of Engagement, no longer requiring the Iraqi government's permission to neutralize hostile targets, increasing American activity in taking down terrorist networks, and the allowance of actual military force rather than a policing action. Seemingly the first step of this plan appeared to be the partitioning of Baghdad - fully understanding what parts constituted what forms of "districts" to better allow American forces to select their targets. From there, American forces continued to press into Anbar, considered the "wild west" of Iraq where it was all but a no-man's land for non-al-Qaeda forces.
With new soldiers arriving and a shift in the rules of engagement, American forces swiftly swept across the region and picked apart the frail insurgencies, which in turn began discussing reconciliation with the Iraqi government under Nouri al-Maliki. Imams and sheiks who once openly protested the American government urged their followers to pick up their weapons and aid the government in policing areas. Attacks were down, firebrand speeches were down, and thus rose the Anbar Salvation Council, which has effectively demolished al-Qaeda in Iraq's most important foothold in the nation.
Among the other crippling losses to al-Qaeda in Iraq was the loss of Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, the despotic leader who himself helped to unite the Iraqi factions and was named "emir of Iraq" by Ayman al-Zawahiri. Nevertheless, it is still widely believed that the sectarian rifts driven by Zarqawi led to a schism between him and his al-Qaeda leadership, who may very well have sold him out. Zawahiri, acting as leader of Iraq with Osama bin-Laden's mysterious disappearance, then replaced Zarqawi with the so far less than competent Abu Ayyub al-Masri, a little known Egyptian who timidly took up his new job and showed little influence on the national scale.
His inability to do little more than act as a puppet for Zawahiri demonstrated the tragic state of al-Qaeda in Iraq - something the secularists and nationalist insurgents pounced upon. Ranging from the Anbar Salvation Council to the 1920s Revolutionary Brigade to the Ba'ath Party itself, a fundamental rejection of al-Qaeda in Iraq became common place and in desperation the faction merged with its umbrella groups to make what it calls the Islamic State of Iraq.
Meanwhile sectarian violence is down, insurgents are continuing to be killed, and terror networks continue to abandon their ways in favor of reconciliation - thanks to David Petraeus and the Baghdad Security Plan. And this is why even on Associated Content there's an apparent panic amongst the anti-war crowd. Last year was the one thing one could latch onto for major support, thinking that most Americans thought like them, that "losing the war" would be just punishment for disobeying their wishes and invading Iraq anyway.
Normally liberal, anti-war messages have transformed into direct attacks on the President, as though they were holding a form of dialogue with the commander-in-chief. Information that is so baseless it would be laughable if it weren't in the context of an armed conflict is being propagated, a furor has begun - and it all revolves around the fact that the Baghdad Security Plan is working.
And in 10 days, that's exactly what General Petraeus is going to say.
Published by Chadd De Las Casas
I was born in Valencia, California in 1987. It's ironic that I turned out to be a writer, since my first exposure to it was an essay about why I hate writing. I am also the owner of the Content Producers Wiki. View profile
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11 Comments
Post a CommentExcept that the genius of capitalism is that it harnesses mankind's inherent selfishness for it's own benefit. Communism will always lose out because it is derived on an overoptimistic understanding of man's nature. Man is inherently selfish and is not interested in the abstract "contributions to the greater good". That system which allows him to grow the fruits of his effort will always beat those which ask him to believe that he is somehow benefitting in an abstract way from his efforts.
in the first place - better to just give ourselves over toapowerful and "charismatic" HA leader like Bush and give him free reign and total control. The root cynicism of conservatives is ulimately the same as theroot cynicism of liberals - both communism and capitalism are exploitative and meant to serve a ruling class - the ruling class is simply called by a different name -ultimately it's all meet the new boss same as the old boss
The trouble with almost everything you say is that you've presumed that we "liberals" are judging "history" as it is happening when many of us actually do read and see horrible precedents in what is currently occuring in the events of the past. You neo-cons have gotten so arrogant you even speak of the end of history - don't believe me check out the National Review (SHOCK - I've actually read it quite a few times) and look at some back issues where the idea of the study of history as any kind of a predictor of future events is seen as utterly laughable. This idea is itself not without precedent and can be seen in thewritings ofa scottich enlightenment philosoher last name of Ferguson who held out that causality in history is a joke - ironically while he described some of the "causes" of thedecline of nations no less but anywaywhat I want toask is this - if some of you neo-cons are right and the past isno predicator of thefuture whatthe Hell are we doing here discussing all these ideas
Al Qaeda is losing the war in Iraq. Its fanatical dedication to Wahhabi-style takfir--or expulsion from the religion and slaying of Muslims with whom it disagrees--has alienated many Sunnis who formerly fought against the U.S.-led Coalition and the Iraqi government. As Iraqi Sunnis change sides in our favor, al Qaeda is bent on transferring the jihadist battlefield to Europe, which is the nearest and most vulnerable theater of opportunity.___The European Union has not formulated an effective common anti-terror strategy. European federal authority is fragmented and subject to local political vagaries--as seen by the hurried withdrawal of the Spanish from Iraq after the Madrid metro horror.___ ~ Stephen Schwartz___ http://www.weeklystandard.com/Utilities/printer_preview.asp?idArticle=14088&R=114FC10FE
According to Iraq's former interim Prime Minister Iyad Allawi, who claims that he discovered the information in the archives of the Iraqi secret service, Zarqawi travelled to Iraq in 1999, around the same time as Zawahiri. Saddam Hussein was courting Al Qaeda at the time. Inspired, perhaps, by Iran's relationship with Hezbollah, he may have believed that he could use terrorists to conduct his foreign policy without undermining his rule. Contrary to Secretary of State Colin Powell's assertion before the U.N. Security Council, in February, 2003, that Zarqawi provided the link to Al Qaeda in Iraq, bin Laden and Zawahiri spurned Saddam's overtures.___After Saddam was overthrown, Zarqawi installed himself as the leader of the Sunni insurgency in Iraq. His ability to act was an affront to the founders in hiding, who were no longer able to control their own organization.___~ pulitzer-prize winning journalist Lawrence Wright___http://www.lawrencewright.com/art-zarqawi.html
I also already did an article on just how absurd it is to try to make assumptions about history while it's happening. It's never been a good idea - opinion polls on how something might look in the future are pretty much irrelevant. I mean, if you asked the average person in the Civil War how they thought the war was going to be looked upon in the future, they'd have spoken with far more gnashing of teeth and angst than anyone does about this conflict. Though I labor to understand what you mean by suggesting I am out of touch with reality when a cursory glance at my articles indicates that they are far more than simple speculation - I mean afterall, I'm not pretending the President of the U.S. flying into Anbar is some miniscule accomplishment.
BTW: Though I disagree with all you wrote, this was an especially well-written piece. Frankly, I think you should consider a job with the Bush administration. Nobody there so far has been as eloquent in outlining their side as you.
When you speak of anti-war people, you do realize, of course, that in a recent AP poll 59% of respondents said the Iraq war will go in history as either a complete or partial failure. 30% of 60% of independents believe the way that 80% of Democrats do. Why do you people insistently remain committed to the lies of Bush rather than the facts of reality?
Witty and totally un-PC as always, Chadd. I love it!
Great article Chadd. And I agree 100% with Michelle's comment.