Hurricane Gustav Path Projections Include New Orleans

Gustav Models Say It's Still Too Early to Call

Brad Sylvester
The projected path of Hurricane Gustav suggests a possible landfall near New Orleans. With Tropical Depression Fay still dumping rain on the Southeast United States, residents are turning their eyes toward Hurricane Gustav. Although Gustav is just passing by Haiti, early projections for its path show a likely landfall somewhere along the US coast in the Caribbean Gulf, according to the Weather Channel. Projections are imprecise this far ahead and the range of likely paths for Hurricane Gustav run from Texas to Florida with higher likelihood in the area midway between the two gulf states.

New Orleans Landfall for Hurricane Gustav?

Would New Orleans be ready for a hurricane to make landfall there now? New Orleans is still recovering from the devastation caused by Hurricane Katrina in 2005. During that terrible hurricane, New Orleans became a scene of complete chaos as the city's infrastructure and emergency services failed utterly. Massive flooding destroyed homes and took lives when the category 3 hurricane made landfall near the city.

Hurricane Gustav Strengthening

Hurricane Gustav continued to grow stronger on Tuesday with sustained winds of 90 miles per hour. While this makes Hurricane Gustav only a category 1 hurricane, forecasters at the Weather Channel caution that if Hurricane Gustav avoids spending much time over Cuba and instead stays over the open water, it could be a severe hurricane. The term severe hurricane is reserved for Category 3 and higher storms.

Too Early to Pinpoint Hurricane Gustav's Projected Path

Hurricane Gustav is smaller in the area it covers than Hurricane Fay so it should affect a smaller territory once it does make landfall. However, if you happen to be one of the communities directly in its path, this certainly does not make it any less dangerous. People along the gulf coast should keep an eye out for the path of Hurricane Gustav over the coming days as the ability to narrow its likely path grows stronger. At this point, Hurricane Gustav is still about 6-7 days from reaching the US gulf coast. With the area still soaked from Tropical Storm Fay, flooding is certainly going to be a concern. Hurricane models provide a cone shaped projection based on the likelihood that a storm will follow any particular track.

Next Few Days will Decide

While it's too early to pinpoint the place where Hurricane Gustav will make landfall, the area around New Orleans is certainly a possibility. Meanwhile there is still a strong possibility that Hurricane Gustav will spend a good portion of the next few days over land in Cuba. While that might be bad for Cuba, it is only a Category 1 hurricane at this point and will certainly be weakened without the warm ocean waters to maintain its energy if that happens.

Published by Brad Sylvester - Featured Contributor in Lifestyle

Brad spent 18 years in the consumer electronics industry, including more than ten years in new product development. He now writes full time from his home in the mountains of New Hampshire.  View profile

  • Hurricane Gustav is currently a category 1 hurricane with 90 mile per hour sustained winds.
  • Hurricane Gustav may weaken if its path keeps it over land for the next few days.
  • The entire US Gulf Coast lies in the possible path of Hurricane Gustave at this point.

25 Comments

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  • Shaz xxx9/3/2008

    I think that hurricanes are horrid and they kill thousands of people all of the time so i feel sorry for them xx

  • Teresa9/1/2008

    HOW INTERESTING THAT THE HOMOSEXUAL SOUTHERN DECADENCE FESTIVAL WAS THIS PAST WEEKEND. LOOKS LIKE GUSTAV IS GOING TO BE ON THE CLEAN UP CREW. KATRINA WHICH MEANS 'PURITY' CANCELED THE PORNFEST IN 2005. WAKE UP NEW ORLEANS LOSE THE VOODOO AND THE FILTH...I JUST DON'T GET HOW PEOPLE CAN'T CONNECT THE DOTS SOMETIMES...
    INNOCENT PEOPLE MAY SUFFER TOO, EXPECIALLY IF THEY DIDN'T SPEAK OUT AGAINST THE EVIL TAKING PLACE IN THEIR COMMUNITY.

  • D9/1/2008

    When the going is good "Who is God?"; When up against wall/problem "Why is God letting this happen?". I pray that God will Bless all and save many and Strenghten the rest. God Bless you all.

  • mar mar8/31/2008

    y r u guys talkin about god when something like this is goin on.. People r goin to die and ur arguing about God

  • dtrinidad8/31/2008

    if there isn't a god,how do you think we are here?

  • Tina8/31/2008

    So all this debate over god or no god...its not a matter of personal belief or insults or lake of fire talk. it is a matter of the unpredictable and humbling acts of nature "god" or "lucifer" or whatever you call it. if you believe that praying now to whom ever will prevent nature from its due course then you are all ignorant cowards. we live our lives freely in sin or saintly and when a catastrophe is fast approaching we believe that running to confession will save us? from what? you think the hurricane is going to just throw it s arms up and say"you know all these people praying, i should just turn around and revisit cuba where they have no god, and destroy their country because americans are such devout catholics, baptists, protestants, etc?

  • Tina8/31/2008

    So all this debate over god or no god...its not a matter of personal belief or insults or lake of fire talk. it is a matter of the unpredictable and humbling acts of nature "god" or "lucifer" or whatever you call it. if you believe that praying now to whom ever will prevent nature from its due course then you are all ignorant cowards. we live our lives freely in sin or saintly and when a catastrophe is fast approaching we believe that running to confession will save us? from what? you think the hurricane is going to just throw it s arms up and say"you know all these people praying, i should just turn around and revisit cuba where they have no god, and destroy their country because americans are such devout catholics, baptists, protestants, etc?

  • vdcarr8/31/2008

    thereis a god and he keeps warning the people in new orliens the you live in sin and he will take you out. give your life to him and you will have eternal life

  • leo8/30/2008

    you are one sad little person I,LL PRAY FOR YOU. GOD BLESS

  • Brad Sylvester8/29/2008

    Say what you like and voice your opinions, but if your comment (or user name) contains profanity or explicit adult comments I will continue to delete it. I'm sure you can make your point with a different choice of words. If not, then perhaps your point isn't worth making at all.

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