These are just a few of the many variables that are driving investors into gold's shiny, if not warm, embrace. Plus, gold has become mainstream: Cash4Gold commercials, famous TV host Glenn Beck promoting gold as an investment, and even a book out by Rep. Ron Paul (R-Tex.) called "End The Fed" in which he suggests the Federal Reserve -- they control our currency, remember -- should be given its two week notice.
So it is perhaps understandable why investors are giving gold some serious thought. As a young and aggressive investor, though, you can likely find a far better bargain than gold (or other precious metals like silver and platinum). Even if things take a turn for the worse, I feel there are better hedges. Here's why:
1. Gold is nothing new. Is now the time to invest in gold? Well, it's certainly not going anywhere -- it was coveted in ancient Roman times, and it is coveted today. Unfortunately for the Romans, they didn't have tech stocks or energy exchange-traded funds to invest in. You do. It's called the stock market, and even a baby can figure it out (assuming you're the E*Trade baby, anyway).
2. Gold does not yield dividends. When you invest in an innovative, strong, profitable company, you may get a dividend at regularly scheduled intervals. Gold pays no such dividend. It doesn't innovate. Instead, it sits in a vault, giving low paid security guards and precious metals transport companies something to do.
3. Gold has intrinsic costs. When you buy shares of Microsoft, you don't have to relocate to Redmond, Washington and watch over their research lab to make sure no one steals anything important. When you buy gold, though, you do have to watch over your investment closely: this means putting it in a large vault at your residence, which costs a lot of money. Or it means paying a company to store the gold for you in an even larger and more elaborate facility, which also costs money. Even if you choose to simply buy gold as a SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) exchange-traded fund on the New York Stock Exchange, rather than buying physical gold bullion, you will pay a fee: somewhere around 0.40% per year.
4. Gold can go down. This is, perhaps, the most important reason to think twice before selling your home and loading up big-time on man's favorite yellowish metal. Sure, people are terrified right now, so maybe you'll make a few bucks on your gold investment -- before the fees and costs involved. Maybe you will even make a lot; I'm rooting for you. But there is also the possibility that the world's major economies will rebound within the next year... unemployment will decrease, consumer confidence will slowly rise, confidence in the dollar and other core currencies will bounce back. When this happens, you'll be the idiot with a gold-filled safe, and no one to sell it to. Maybe you'll call Cash4Gold. They'll buy, maybe.
So, sure, invest some money in gold if you would like... at least you won't lose all of what you put in, which is more than can be said for many investments. 1,000 years from now, wealthy societies will still probably maintain an interest in gold. But I would advise against betting the farm on gold's rapid ascent. It might happen. It just as easily might not.
Disclosures: The author is providing his opinion, and his views do not necessarily reflect those of this publication or its management, officers and affiliates. At time of publication, the author does not own any gold or precious metals exchange-traded funds. Always consult an investment professional or financial planner before making a decision.
Published by David S
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1 Comments
Post a CommentYou invest in gold as a hedge against the U.S. Dollar and all of the debt our government puts upon us citizens.
BTW, stocks have been averaging less than a 2% dividend the last 10 years, so that counters your critique of gold paying no dividends. The difference of course being that gold is up 400% the last 10 years and stocks haven't returned anything (lost decade).
A diversification into gold is necessary this day and age. Don't fight the trend.
For more info, click on the gold tab of my blog where I challenge journalists, CFP's, CFA's, PhD's, and even Harvard Economics professors who criticize (and don't understand) gold.
http://fedupbook.com/blog