Iowa Caucus Results Predictions
As far as the Republican Candidates, it seems as though Huckabee and Romney are neck and neck, with John McCain following by a fairly large gap. In this case as well, I feel that the #3 guy may pull out ahead. My reasoning is this, the voters of the great state of Iowa seem to have a pretty severe aversion to the mudslinging tactics which Huckabee and Romney seem to have adopted, attacking one another as well as one another's supporters. McCain seems to have done a fairly decent job of staying out of the drama and attacks, therefore some feel that at the end of today, he may very well be the Golden Boy.
Hillary and Romney look to be the slippers of the day.
My personal predictions are as follows. Democratic side - Edwards will pull out an EXTREMELY slight lead over Barack Obama, my guess would be Edwards at 28 or 29%, Barack Obama at about 27%, and Clinton at about 24%.
Republican side - I'm going to put John McCain at a one point lead over Huckabee, who I'm thinking will burn a strong lead over Mitt Romney. I would say McCain at about 30%, Mike Huckabee at 25%, and Mitt Romney around 22% by result time.
You can find current poll tracking at the Reuters/Zogby tracking update.
Published by Kelly Davis
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8 Comments
Post a CommentWell, I was "right" in my predictions (Obama and McCain), although, writing this in August, I am glad that the Edwards surge failed. I predicted McCain would triumph, ultimately, but, not having campaigned in Iowa at all, Huckabee hung around for a while. Note the comment from M. Zoe at the bottom of your comments. Someone told me they would come back and "eat crow" if Obama pulled it out of the fire in Iowa over Hillary, but, as I recall, there wasn't much crow eaten by that moron, either.
Yeah, I was way off. Hopefully my NH picks will be a bit more....uhhh...not crazy. LoL
Obama had a slight lead (37.58%) over Edwards (29.75%) who basically tied with Clinton (29.47). Huckabee the lead with 34%, Romney 2nd with 25% and McCain ties for 3rd with Thompson at 13%. So what do you predict for New Hampshire. I understand Kucinich asked his supporters to back Obama in Iowa, but not NH.
BTW, great job on your 4:07pm prediction.
Like you, I hadn't discounted McCain's chances. Haven't been able to find online number, but it seems that Huckabee won. I picked him since I didn't think Romney can really win in the heartland. Seems too flat and unreal.
Though the polling is almost over, I had Obama over Clinton by 1 point.
*Stupidist mornon*? Wtf. Learn to read, unblock your shit, then post comments. I'll leave it up, as I think that the upcoming election should include the serious problem of illiteracy in America. As for you, wow, find something to do that doesn't involve correct spelling.
You are about the stupidist mornon I've seen post on the web. McCain with a win in Iowa, that is laughable. Romney is going pull about 45%. Don't understand the power of a real leader.