It’s Mathematically Impossible to Beat Obama in the 2012 Election

In 2012 an extremely unpopular president is running for reelection. He can't run on his record because he is now claiming that nothing got better for those that voted for him in 2008.

All he can do is move to the left and please his base by proposing more of what made him so unpopular to much of those that voted him into office and those that voted against him. At first it seems to be a real dumb idea but in reality not so dumb.

It has been estimated and estimates are only that, there are 1.4 leaning democrats in the United States or about 28% of the voters to every 1 leaning republican making up about 22 percent of the people. The independent voters are said to make up about one third the voters or about 33%. Libertarians make up and estimated 20 percent of the voters and finally Socialist leaning Americans about 30 percent of the vote.

By my calculator that amounts to an estimated 133 percent of the voters in the United States. Hence the reason that the figures are only estimates since even by the math used by congress to calculate the cost of bills it is 33 percent more than is possible.

In reality it probably matches exactly how congress comes up with its figures.

If you have been paying any attention to the news you know that according to the polls that anyone can beat the president in the 2012 election as long as no real name is put against him. Dark horses are preferable in both parties to what each has to offer.

Today the leading candidate for the republican nomination came in dead last in a family values straw poll. They don't want him and none of the others possible candidates have all the credentials needed to unite the entire party in 2012. The vote will be split down the middle in the Republican party on ideological grounds and those that don't approve of whom has been chosen will just set on their hands and not vote as occurred in the 2008 election.

It is well known that the democrats will still come out and vote in an election no matter whom is their candidate simply because they don't want the other candidate to win. An example of this is my grandparents. One was a republican and the other a democrat. When the republicans had a candidate one didn't like they set on their hands and didn't vote. When the democrats ran a candidate the other didn't like they simply voted against any republican that was nominated.

You start off with a democratic party vote that you know the hard left will come out and that the Latin vote will come out and the afro American vote will support along who a small percentage of the libertarian and socialist vote and mathematically your well into the 40 percent range for the current president.

Ron Paul and Huntsman are expected to represent the libertarians and the independents in the election taking these votes that the president will not get from the republican candidate. Never have a chance for any socialist vote.

It does look like that with those candidates that he republican party is putting up that for the first time since they became a political force in this nation that the party could come in third or worst in the 2012 elections. The president could be elected with less than 40 percent of the votes cast.

All of this taking place in and environment in which almost all agree the republicans will keep the house and take the senate back. Since the nuclear option has now been put into place by the Democratic Party in the senate it makes the taking of the senate back that much easier. All it takes now is 51 votes and makes the country more divided then one could have thought was possible.

A minority president will be the leader of a country hostile to all that he does because only a few will have elected him president and those few don't actually want him as president. They simply won't want a republican worst then the one they will be reelecting.

When you put your ideology ahead of what is best for the nation the math is almost always in favor of those that can simply get the vote out.

It's therefore mathematically impossible to beat Obama in the 2012 election.