Life Table Functions: Practice Problems and Solutions: Part 6
The Actuary's Free Study Guide for Exam 3L - Section 14
The life table function Txrepresents "the total number of years lived beyond age x by the survivorship group with l0 initial members" (Bowers, Gerber, et. al.). This function can be found as follows:
Tx=0∞∫lx+tdt
Moreover, the following relationship holds:
Tx/lx = ėx
The life table function a(x) represents "the average number of years lived between ages x and x + 1 by those of the survivorship group who die between those ages." (Bowers, Gerber, et. al.).
The direct determination of a(x) is rather time-consuming:
a(x) = [01∫t*lx+t*μx+tdt]/[01∫lx+t*μx+tdt]
An approximation of a(x) which assumes that deaths are uniformly distributed in the year of age is
a(x) = 01∫tdt = ½
A faster way to determine a(x) is through the following identity:
Lx = a(x)lx + [1 - a(x)]lx+1
Thus, a(x) = (Lx - lx+1)/(lx - lx+1)
Meaning of variables:
Lx is "the total expected number of years lived between ages x and x+1 by survivors of the initial group of l0 lives" (Bowers, Gerber, et. al.).
ėx is the complete-expectation-of-life for life (x).
lx is the expected number of survivors at age x of an original group of l0 members.
Source: Bowers, Gerber, et. al. Actuarial Mathematics. 1986. First Edition. Society of Actuaries: Itasca, Illinois. pp. 66-67.
Original Problems and Solutions from The Actuary's Free Study Guide
Problem S3L14-1. The life of a triceratops has the following survival function associated with it: s(x) = e-0.34x. Of a group of 7765 newborn triceratopses, how many total years will be lived beyond age 30 by the group's members?
Solution S3L14-1. We want to find T30 = 0∞∫l30+tdt. We know that l0 = 7765, so lx = l0*s(x) = 7765e-0.34x. Thus, T30 = 0∞∫7765e-0.34(30+t)dt = 7765e-0.34(30) 0∞∫e-0.34tdt =
7765e-0.34(30)(-50/17)e-0.34t│0∞ = 7765e-0.34(30)(50/17) = 0.8489044841 years
Problem S3L14-2. For a certain group of burgundy crickets,
lx = 354(1 - 0.0625x2) for 0 ≤ x ≤ 4 and 0 otherwise. Find ėx for this group of burgundy crickets.
Solution S3L14-2.
We first find Tx by using the formula Tx = 0∞∫lx+tdt. But the upper bound of our integral is not infinity, but 4-x, since at t = 4-x, x+t = x + (4 - x) = 4, and we know that l4 = 0, so all members of the group of burgundy crickets will have died by age 4. Therefore,
04-x∫354(1 - 0.0625(x+t)2)dt = 04-x∫(354 - 22.125(x+t)2)dt = (354t - 7.375(x+t)3)│04-x =
1416 - 354x - 7.375(4)3 + 7.375x3 = Tx = 944 - 354x+ 7.375x3 =
We use the formula Tx/lx = ėx to find that
ėx = (944 - 354x+ 7.375x3)/[354(1 - 0.0625x2)].
We can simplify this expression as follows:
ėx = [354(8/3 - x + (1/48)x3)]/[354(1 - 0.0625x2)].
ėx = (8/3 - x + (1/48)x3)/(1 - 0.0625x2).
Problem S3L14-3. The life of a triceratops has the following survival function associated with it: s(x) = e-0.34x. For a group of 7765 newborn triceratopses, find a(5).
Solution S3L14-3. We know that l0 = 7765, so lx = l0*s(x) = 7765e-0.34x.
Then we find L5 using the formula Lx = 01∫lx+tdt.
L5 = 01∫7765e-0.34(5+t)dt = 7765e-0.34(5)01∫e-0.34tdt = 7765e-0.34(5)(-50/17)e-0.34t│01 =
7765e-0.34(5)(50/17)(1 - e-0.34) = L5 = 1202.543013 years.
We can also find l5 = 7765e-0.34*5 = 1418.537564 and l6 = 7765e-0.34*6 = 1009.67294.
Now we can use the formula a(x) = (Lx - lx+1)/(lx - lx+1) = (L5 - l6)/(l5 - l6) =
(1202.543013 - 1009.67294)/(1418.537564 - 1009.67294) = a(5) = 0.4717211057
Problem S3L14-4. For a certain group of burgundy crickets,
lx = 354(1 - 0.0625x2) for 0 ≤ x ≤ 4 and 0 otherwise. Find a(2) for this group of burgundy crickets.
Solution S3L14-4. We first find L2 using the formula Lx = 01∫lx+tdt.
L2 = 01∫l2+tdt = 01∫354(1 - 0.0625(2+t)2)dt = 01∫(354 - 22.125(2+t)2)dt =
(354t - 7.375(2+t)3)│01 = 354 - 7.375*27 + 7.375*8 = 354 - 7.375*19 = L2 = 213.875.
We can also find l2 = 354(1 - 0.0625*22) = 265.5 and l3 = 354(1 - 0.0625*32) = 154.875.
Now we can use the formula a(x) = (Lx - lx+1)/(lx - lx+1) = (L2 - l3)/(l2 - l3) =
(213.875 - 154.875)/(265.5 - 154.875) = a(2) = 8/15 = about 0.5333333333333
Problem S3L14-5. In a certain group of ichthyosaurs, 6086 ichthyosaurs are alive at age 7, L7 = 5440, and a(7) = 0.687. Find out how many of these ichthyosaurs will senselessly perish (i.e., die) before reaching their 8th birthday. Round up to the nearest whole ichthyosaur.
Solution S3L14-5. We use the formula a(x) = (Lx - lx+1)/(lx - lx+1). We want to find l7 - l8.
We first find l8, for which we need to rearrange the formula thus:
a(x)(lx - lx+1) = (Lx - lx+1)
a(x)lx - a(x)lx+1 = Lx - lx+1
a(x)lx - Lx = a(x)lx+1 - lx+1
a(x)lx - Lx = (a(x) - 1)lx+1
(a(x)lx - Lx)/(a(x) - 1) = lx+1
Thus, l8 = (a(7)l7 - L7)/(a(7) - 1) = (0.687*6086 - 5440)/(0.687 - 1) = l8 = 4022.102236
Thus, l7 - l8 = 6086 - 4022.102236 = 2063.897764 = 2064 ichthyosaurs.
See other sections of The Actuary's Free Study Guide for Exam 3L.
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2 Comments
Post a Commentmmailliw, you are correct. Solution 14-2 has been modified accordingly.
In question 14-2, the integrals from 0 to 4 should instead be from 0 to 4 - x because for t > 4 - x, x + t > 4 and l_(x + t) = 0.