McCain Vs. Obama, Clinton Vs. McCain, General Election Matchups, Recent Presidential Polls
Unless the Democrats can get back to their message and stop talking about each other, their message may be lost in the surging excitement of a revitalized John McCain. According to politicalcount.com their January 2008 poll shows that Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama would easily beat any republican except for John McCain. In head to head matchups either pairing results in a statistical tie. Hillary receives the most dependable support when voters are asked for a degree of certainty in their support, 37% to Obama 30% and McCain 22%. But polls also indicate that Clinton is the best known candidate, the most loved and the most hated. This may mean that her support is strong and stable, but it may also mean that there is not much room for growth.
According to a recent www.presidentialpolls.com poll a Barack Obama vs. John McCain head to head Matchup would give McCain 323 electoral votes and Obama 188. While they show that Obama would win in NY, California, New Jersey, Michigan and Iowa, the rest of the nation is firmly behind McCain by a substantial margin. Although their polling data shows McCain ahead of Clinton in a National Poll as well, when the individual states are assessed and the electoral votes tabulated, Hillary was shown to be ahead of McCain 266 to 255. McCain wins in New Jersey, Nevada, Arizona, Alabama, North Carolina, Texas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Virginia, Kansas, Kentucky and Tennessee.
These results are consistent with a poll last year published in the January 2007 issue of Time Magazine, in that poll a McCain Clinton matchup was a statistical dead heat, whereas McCain easily beat Obama and all other Democrats. No other Republican candidate in that poll showed any significant chance of victory. McCain was the only republican who beat Obama and came close to Hillary in polling numbers.
According to realclearpolitics.com, in a recent Florida poll, McCain beat Romney by 13 points on the question of electability, he polls strongly with liberal and moderate voters but lost to Romney with conservatives. McCain's anti-Bush history is perhaps his strongest appeal to a broad spectrum of voters. This gives him an edge and a way into a divided Democratic base when it comes time for the general election. Clearly the Democrats need to recharge their base and get some excitement back into the campaign. The problem of two strong candidates slugging it out, while the opposition begins to hit stride, is not new to politics. It looks like the general election is shaping up to be quite a horse race, the Democrats may be playing a little too fast and loose with what should be a golden opportunity for them to retake the executive branch of government.
Come Super Tuesday the smoke should start to clear and the Democratic Party will hopefully have a better understanding of which horse to back. But there still remains the task of uniting the party and exciting the legions with something new and exciting, a solid plan for health care, a clear strategy for the war, a firm resolve to boost the economy, and the question of the second name on the ticket. As the first decision of the party's candidate, the choice of a prospective vice president is the first opportunity for a candidate to show their ability to unite and include, inspire and reassure. Maybe a Clinton-Obama or Obama-Clinton ticket would be the exciting, historical, inspirational move America is looking for.
Published by Ken Mandel
Expat lawyer, living in Uruguay, teacher, translator, writer and observer of all things human and otherwise. View profile
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10 Comments
Post a CommentI am so worried about this election. Obama hasn't got a clue as to how to run our country. By the time he is out of the white house we will all be bankruped. Our country will be overrun with terrorist. He has not even mention what he is going to do about our social security. What about the elderly? Do we count after we can't work daily to support ourselves? Please do not let this pretty guy in an expensive suit fool you. If you are a senior citizen wake up and smell the coffee.
If anybody does their homework they could not in their right mind vote for Mccain...He supports a war where most of the people killed (over a half million to date) were not against Americans but instead were controlled by a tyrant that george senior put in place, financed and aided for years....making him a tyrant as well......The simple fact is mccain knows the truth about the bushes being heads of the largest crime family in the world and he still supports their efforts ....nothing else needs to be said.....if he does not know,...well nothing else needs to be said.......He would have to be the stupidest man on the planet to not know...........
I think if Hillary is finished many of her supporters will vote for McCain.
You're known by the company you keep - Wright and Farrakhan???.
If anybody does their homework they could not in their right mind vote for Obama. Here are the facts.
Associated 20 years with a racist Jerimiah Wright. 20 YEARS.
Pro Palestine - Anti Israel. (Read about Muslim Khalidi who was anti-Israel and supported terroisim against Israel. Obama gave him gifts of $40,000 in 2001 and $35,000 in 2002.
Obama's father was a Muslim.
Step Father was a Muslim.
His brother Roy Obama is a hardline Muslim.
Cousin Odinga in Kenya is a Muslim who lost the election and then went on a murder rampage killing women and children. Obama is in contact with him. Odinga is also associated with a radical Islamic group.
Most, if not all of the terrorists on 9/11 were Muslims.
Obama associated with a member of the radical group "The Weatherman" Ayers who was a core group member of the 60's and 70's who believed in violence to overthrow the government. Ayers supported Obama who lived in his neighborhood.
Obama helped organize the million man mar
Look at where all the 'experience' has got us already. Our current president has years and years of the 'experience' you're looking for, would you really like four more years of that?
Obama is just a more incompetent version of Jimmy Carter if tha's possible. Vote Odumbass and vote for a return to malaise and double digit stagflation.
This is why McCain is creaming Odumbass in the Penslyvania polls. They can smell a phony a mile away.
Change is needed but not the wrong kind. How could we possibly put a rookie in place (Obama) as the most powerful leader in the world, with ZERO foregin policy experience, ZERO military background, ZERO economic background.... that is not risky, that's reckless. Personally, I'd like to see Obama be a Governor for 8 years, then he has my vote.
If Mcain becomes our next president, there will be no change! Obama has the upper hand believe it or not! Hillary is just full of hot air and no game. I always thought a woman would do better in office, but all Hilary wants to do is argue with the men then maybe next time!
Are you watching the same election the rest of us are? The Democrats are as charged up as it gets; Republicans are holding their noses as they vote for McCain. McCain is no change from Bush - he adheres the same reckless foreign policy and admits that he knows nothing about the economy. That's change? It's the Republicans who are divided, not the Democrats. McCain has to worry about getting the true conservatives to back him. Whoever the Democrats nominate will unite the party. We're 8 months from November; the national polls regarding the general election mean nothing. I have little doubt that in those months people will see McCain for what he really is - a hotheaded warmonger who will continue the disastrous policies of George W. Bush.