NBA Picks Against the Spread

With today being Thanksgiving there are just 2 games in the NBA. Both games feature matchups of teams that have similar records thus far. One point spread is small but the other one is large despite comparable records. Lets breakdown the matchups of both NBA games and pick some winners. If you are interested in maximizing your probability of winning, be sure to check out 6 Rules to Follow when Gambling on Sports.

Orlando Magic at
Atlanta Hawks - 1.5

Analysis: The Hawks are one the best home teams in the NBA and haven't lost in Atlanta yet this season. Favored by -1.5, the likely hood of the point spread actually coming into play in this game is very slim as the Hawks would have to win by exactly 1 point. While the Orlando Magic are a formidable opponent, Atlanta averages more points per game, shoots at a higher percentage from the floor, rebounds more, and turn the ball over less. The Magic do allow fewer points per game and shoot better from the 3 point line but I don't think it will be enough to beat the Hawks in Atlanta. Three point shooting , especially on the road isn't always consistent and can come and go for any team. Both of these teams have been 2 of the best in the NBA so far but in this game Atlanta should win and cover the point spread of just 1.5.

Pick: Atlanta - 1.5

Chicago Bulls at
Utah Jazz - 7

Analysis: These are two NBA teams that are around the .500 mark so far this season. The Utah Jazz have historically been known for being tough to beat at home but so far this season they are just 4-3. Chicago has not been very good on the road so far going just 2-6. However, when taking a closer look, 4 of those road losses are to Denver, Los Angeles, Portland, and Cleveland. This tough early road schedule has skewed the numbers and is making the Bulls look like a weaker road team than they actually are. Considering that these teams have similar records and the Jazz have been beatable at home so far, the Bulls should be able to keep the game close and cover the point spread of 7.

Pick: Chicago +7