New Hampshire's Latest Daily Tracking Poll Shows Democrats Winning Everything

A daily tracking poll for New Hampshire released on October 27^th by local television news station WMUR and conducted by the UNH Survey Center, shows sizable leads for Barack Obama, Carol-Shea Porter, Jeanne Shaheen, Paul Hodes, and Governor John Lynch. All of these candidates are Democrats. Indeed, WMUR reported that statewide, all the currently contested elections are being led by the Democratic candidates. Of all the New England states, New Hampshire is traditionally the most Republican, having voted for George Bush in 2000.

New Hampshire Presidential Poll Results

New Hampshire had been expected to be one of those states that came down to the wire in the presidential race. In 2000, New Hampshire voted for Bush, in 2004 the Granite State chose John Kerry. However, the newest polls show that Barack Obama has a sizable lead in New Hampshire. Since there is some variance among the polls, Here are several poll results as reported by Real Clear Politics:

· Rasmussen: Obama +4%

· Boston Globe/ UNH: Obama +15%

· Marist: Obama +5%

· Real Clear Politics Average: Obama +7.7%

Republican Sununu's ads Claim Democrat Shaheen is a Bush Supporter

The latest UNH Survey Center poll conducted for WMUR, shows that former New Hampshire Governor Jeanne Shaheen is on track to unseat sitting Republican Senator John Sununu. Shaheen television ads had sought to portray Sununu as a staunch Bush ally. Interesting as his poll numbers erode, Republican Senator Sununu has sought to portray the Democrat Shaheen as a staunch ally of George Bush using post 9/11 footage of Shaheen saying "I will stand with George Bush" and replaying it over and over in television spots, Sununu seems to have joined a growing movement among Republican candidates across the country who are running away from their party.

Republicans Running Away from Party

In New Hampshire as well as around the country, the fact that many local Republican candidates are trying to distance themselves from the Republican party suggests that John McCain will have an even harder time gaining ground against Barack Obama. As these candidates stop pushing the traditional Republican messages, McCain's ads and stump speeches are no longer supported by the reinforcement of local ads. At a time when Barack Obama is outspending McCain by a wide margin and has the funds to continue doing so right through election day, McCain needs all the help he can get.

McCain Camp May be Suffering from a Case of Too Many Mavericks

Meanwhile, as I reported in another article, McCain's campaign staff seems to be suffering from a case of severe and public infighting. Just when McCain needs as much, on topic coverage as he can get, the media is being distracted by accusations and name-calling emanating from McCain's own campaign. In what may be a case of too many mavericks, CNN reports that unnamed McCain staffers have begun complaining about a rogue Sarah Palin seemingly abandoning the McCain talking points. With just one week left in the race, John McCain can't afford distractions like this to take up media time.

Obama Supporters not Letting up in New Hampshire

Meanwhile, Democratic support group MoveOn has issued an email call to members to drive to New Hampshire this week-end in Support of Barack Obama. Efforts to put hundreds of Obama supporters on the ground in nearly every state across the country are part of the strategy to help guard against potential election day issues that might otherwise suppress the Obama vote.

Sources:

cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/10/25/palin.tension/index.html

wmur.com/politics/17815577/detail.html

realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nh/new_hampshire_mccain_vs_obama-195.html

digitaljournal.com/article/261621