There are a lot of home underdogs this week and as tempting as it is to pick the home dogs they just seem to overmatched this week. While one of these dogs will probably pull through I think the best play for this week is to go with the favorites for the most part.
Baltimore -4 over CLEVELAND
Baltimore looks good so far this season and Cleveland just doesn't have it. This is a game Baltimore has to win but the fact that the Ravens have a tough time scoring is a problem. I would still take the Ravens giving 4 points, but if you can find the Ravens giving only a field goal than take it.
Green Bay -1 over MINNESOTA
Minnesota doesn't have a quarterback and that will make it hard for them to put up points. Green Bay has contained every running back that they have seen this year and Adrian Peterson should be held in check. Green Bay looks great so far this season and I expect them to win this game by more than a point.
Houston -3 over ATLANTA
Houston has looked good this season and even there loss to Indianapolis has not had me losing faith in them. Andre Johnson being out should hurt the Texans, but I am sticking with my promise to not go with the Falcons until they prove me wrong.
BUFFALO +3.5 over NY Jets
Buffalo played the Broncos tough in their home opener this season and now they are returning to Buffalo to play. The Jets are hardly a great team this season and a nice divisional rivalry should make for a close game. If Buffalo is getting over a field goal go ahead and take it.
Oakland +4.5 over MIAMI
Oakland has looked good in their losses this year and Miami has not. This is simply a case of taking the points when I feel the teams match up pretty well. Daunte Culpepper might also start on the road in Miami and his bitter departure may have him looking to stick it to the Dolphins.
CAROLINA -2.5 over Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay has looked impressive (for them) so far this season. I think that they are playing above their potential and they will be in for a tough game on Sunday. Carolina looks to be back in track right now and I feel that they will win at home by a field goal or more.
INDIANAPOLIS -9.5 over Denver
Indianapolis's offense has been kept in check for the past few games and now they face Denver. So far this season it looks like Denver's defense is overrated, and the RCA Dome is a very tough place for a visitor. Take Peyton and the Colts to win by 10+ points.
ARIZONA +6 over Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh will be traveling to the desert to take on the Cardinals. This will be a nice test for the Steelers, which I think they will eventually win, but this game has the makings of one that will be a little closer than most people think.
Baltimore/CLEVELAND under 39.5
Baltimore can't score and Cleveland won't be able to score on the Ravens defense. Enough said.
Green Bay/MINNESOTA under 38
Green Bay has a pretty good defense and so does Minnesota. Minnesota should have a tough time moving the ball without a decent quarterback and Green Bay will have trouble running the ball. This should be a grind-it-out NFC style game.
With all the picks made it is time for me to remind you that these are merely the best plays on the board as I see them and they are not guaranteed winners, nothing is guaranteed. I hope you have fun with these NFL selections and good luck this weekend. All lines are gathered from BetUs.com and from Wagerline.com and were accurate at the time of this article being written. Keep in mind, line movement may occur.
Remember not to bet more than you can afford to lose and that wagering should be for fun only. If you have a gambling problem I urge you not to place a wager.
Also, make sure you visit JSportsPicks.BlogSpot.com for my complete picks blog that is updated with new picks every weekend.
Published by Wordsleuth
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2 Comments
Post a CommentMinnesota doesn't have a quarterback?! You're blind AND stupid. Minnesota beats Green Bay in Week 4.
Nice job with your article :-)