Obama, Clinton in Texas, Ohio: Who Will Win Today?

Well, it seems it is too close to make a call. Both contenders, Obama and Clinton are too close to make a final prediction. The latest results of the Zogby tracking poll are telling this: It's to close to make a call.

Voters are preparing to cast their definite vote tomorrow in Texas and Ohio. Volatility is what this poll is showing. None of the two democratic candidates have been able to fly away from the other. Texas and Ohio are tow of the last rich-delegates states that both candidates, Obama and Clinton are trying to get under each of their wing. However support for them is equally split and claims can be made as to which of the two candidates will finally win there.

As seen on previous days Obama leads among men, but the two are tied among women. Clinton continues has a big lead among Hispanics. Obama has made some modest advances in the last day among white voters.

Obama enjoys an almost 2-to-1 lead among young voters (under age 30), while Clinton leads 54% to 31% among voters age 65 and older.

Obama continues to lead in the urban areas of Dallas and Houston, while Clinton has more support in the rural areas of Texas. The key swing area of east Texas is shifting towards fully supporting Obama although Clinton still retains some support there. The numbers in East Texas has been very volatile.

In Ohio, there is very little movement as the Democratic candidates have solidified their support among those groups that have come to be familiar supporters of each. Obama leads Clinton among men by a 54% to 39% margin, while Clinton leads Obama among women by a 51% to 42% edge. The Obama increase in support among men is likely what has moved him ahead of Clinton.

In Ohio the situation seems to be a little more stable and predictable. Obama leads on Ohio voters under age 50, while Clinton remains strongest among older voters. Hillary Clinton has great support in the rural areas of Ohio while Obama just takes it all in the Democratic poll of Cleveland and Columbus. Cincinnati is definitely with Hillary Clinton.

On the republican side, McCain is the definite winner and stays well ahead of Huckabee, but still faces some opposition in his party. McCain continues to enjoy a big advantage in Texas and Ohio, but Huckabee has solid support among conservatives Evangelicals in Texas prefer McCain, 45% to 44% while very conservatives prefer Huckabee 48% to 41%.

Source:

Too Close To Call! Obama Barely Overtakes Clinton in Ohio and Retains Small Edge in Texas http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1460