One thing is for sure, there are no shortages of pollsters putting new numbers out of the key battleground state of Ohio. It seems as if everyone has a real understanding of just how important this state is to both candidates, even the pollsters. There have been seven polls released in the last week from the state of Ohio, so there is plenty of data to go off of. The most important thing is that each of these polls show Barack Obama leading John McCain in the state. The RealClearPolitics average of these seven polls shows Barack Obama with a lead of 6 percent in Ohio presidential polls.
In all reality, that 6 percent may be boosted too much by a couple of outliers that have Obama up by more than 10 points in this divided state. The pollsters with the most reliability from past elections have put this state at around 4 or 5 points for Obama right now. It is important to note that Obama's lead in several of these polls is within the margin of error, so this race is still extremely tight.
As a resident of a suburb of Columbus, Ohio, I have seen one of the candidates from either the democratic or republican ticket having a campaign stop in the area almost daily of late. In fact, the McCain campaign is having their final "road to victory" rally in Ohio right here in Columbus on Friday night at Nationwide Arena.
Arnold Schwarzenegger is the special guest that will appear with John McCain for this all important final rally in the Buckeye state. I know this because I received a call from the Republican committee asking me if I wanted to come to the rally. This massive rally with a special guest tells me that the McCain campaign understands that it has no chance of winning the election without Ohio's 20 electoral votes and it is pulling out all the stops. Barack Obama and Joe Biden are both likely to visit the region again before November 4th also to shore up their numbers in the Ohio Presidential polls.
With just one week to go now until election day, the biggest change I have noticed is the forming of the massive get out the vote operations here in Ohio. The Obama campaign seems to have put a huge emphasis on getting out the vote in Ohio, and the McCain campaign seems to be trying to play catchup in that department. Both campaigns are urging people to get out and vote early, with the Obama campaign generally asking residents to go to their polling site early, and the McCain campaign pushing the absentee ballots quite heavily.
There is little doubt that the state of Ohio will be very competitive on election night. The Presidential polls in Ohio seem to be showing that the democrats and Barack Obama have the edge, but this race is certainly not over.
Published by Aaron Smith - Featured Contributor in Sports
I am a full-time freelance writer who specializes in writing about the world of sports as well as the financial industry. I write about a little bit of everything. My passion for all of these topics comes ou... View profile
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3 Comments
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you are awesome
this is such a hearty well thought out article with a personal on the ground twist.
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- srini
stickernation.com
Aaron...I think the 80 percent voter turnout projections are a little high. It will be a historic figure, no doubt. But, I still think the Brady effect is real, and Ohio won't be a landslide either way.