Poll: Clinton Obama Tied Up in Ohio, Obama Losing Support in Texas, McCain Winner
Clinton and Obama are deadlocked in Ohio
According to the most recent and ongoing tracking poll, being conducted by Zogby International, Clinton and Obama are deadlocked in Ohio. Neither of them has a definite advantage in that state while in Texas it seems that Obama is losing ground to Clinton. Clinton has discounted the earlier sees slide and is closing on Obama in that state.
A tracking poll is a great statistical technique to show how the candidates "move" over the survey time period. The methodology is based on phone calls that interviewers make everyday for 2 and a half-days. Oldest results are dropped each time that a new result comes in. This way you can follow during a short period of time how preference for a candidate is changing over time.
Two days ago, I reported that it seemed that Barack Obama was consolidating his lead over Hillary Rodham Clinton. Now, Zogby International is releasing new evolving results of its tracking poll showing that Clinton is closing on Obama in Texas while the Ohio voters' preference is still equally decided among the two democratic candidates Obama and Clinton.
The tracking poll is again confirming that McCain is the definite winner of the next primaries in Ohio and Texas. In fact, these are the results published by the poll: McCain,
58 %: Huckabee, 23 %; Paul, 8 %. So as you can see McCain has a 35 point lead over Huckabee in Texas. As for Ohio results are very similar with an ample advantage for McCain
Both Democratic candidates, Obama and Clinton, have a 45 percent intent of vote in Ohio by democratic voters. The pair is deadlocked and these two primaries are promising to continue to promise a new chapter in this interesting 2008 primary election. In Texas, Clinton has a 1 percent among Texas women, but Texas men prefer Obama by almost a 5 percent, according to the poll. Clinton continues to retain a strong hold on Hispanic voters in Texas, which is key for Clinton democratic primary.
The poll also indicates that Obama continues to hold a strong preference among voters in the districts of Dallas and in Houston, where there is a heavy concentration of delegates to the Democratic National Convention. As the primary is evolving, Clinton would need to make it big in both Texas and Ohio to make significant inroads and the Zogby poll is showing that this may not be the case for Clinton.
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Published by R. Bourne, Ph.D.
Ph.D. Food and Nutrition. MBA. R. Bourne writes mainly about Health and Wellness, Alternative Medicine and Healing, Nutrition, Dieting and Food Science and Technology. He has been writing online content... View profile
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2 Comments
Post a CommentInteresting that Obama came out of Texas with more delegates than Clinton, which is amazing with her kitchen stink smear campaign of Obama. She can fool some of the people all of the time, but can not fool all of the people. Hope there are enough people with high IQ's in the country or it is Hello President McCain, thank you Hillary Clinton. But since people do not care that Bill is a known liar, they probably will still vote Hill if she gets Dem bid even after Bill's trial begins in mid-October.
Good work. The weaknesses of the polls is a topic of great interest to me since some of them have had such a high degree of variance. This is not about polls but it is about Ohio and Texas. A bigt of self-promotion...please take a look.