Poll: Why Hillary Clinton Will Be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008
Clinton has led the Democratic candidates in every Gallup Poll conducted between November of 2006 and October of 2007. During this same time period, Clinton has led Obama by a double-digit margin, and her lead in Gallup's latest poll, conducted October 12-14, is at 50 percent versus Obama's 21 percent. History shows a lead of even 20 points is large for a Democratic nomination race, and the previous two candidates who had such a lead at this time before their election years (Al Gore in 1999 and Walter Mondale in 1983) eventually, each became the Democratic nominee.
Another plus for Clinton is that two-thirds of Democrats who currently prefer her for the party nomination say they will certainly vote for her in the primaries, a higher percentage than any other Democratic candidate is receiving from their supporters. Also, Clinton holds leads with many and varied subgroups of Democratic voters, including women, nonwhites, those in lower-income households, those with less formal education, and Southerners.
When it comes to a candidate's favorable ratings in the Democratic Party beyond just the voters supporting that particular candidate, Clinton also leads the pack. Besides having 40-50 percent of Democrats usually cite her as their choice for the nomination, Clinton receives a favorable rating from 82 percent of Democrats and Democratic leaners, while only 16 percent have an unfavorable view of her. Obama has a favorable rating of 70 percent, and John Edwards' rating is 63 percent. Also, 64 percent of Democrats say they would vote for Clinton enthusiastically in the presidential election, while 49 percent feel this way about voting for Obama, and 41 percent about Edwards. Democrats also perceive Clinton as being most likely among the Democratic candidates to defeat the Republican in the 2008 election.
Perhaps the most convincing evidence of Clinton's probable nomination is Democrats' and Democratic-leaning independents' considering her the top choice to handle a variety of top policy issues, according to the September 24-27, 2007, Gallup Panel survey. When choosing between the top three Democratic candidates, an outright majority of Democrats think Clinton would do the best job on 6 out of 17 major national issues considered in the poll, including policy issues Americans typically rate as most important to their vote, such as healthcare, the economy, and education. Also included are two of the leading values issues on American's minds -- abortion and gay marriage.
A solid plurality of survey panel participants prefer Clinton's leadership on another seven issues, including terrorism and the Iraq war, and she also holds sizable leads on taxes and energy, and smaller leads on crime, immigration, and being commander in chief of the military. Obama is the choice for an outright majority of Democrats on just one issue, that being race relations, and a sizable plurality chooses him over Clinton and Edwards as the candidate best able to inspire Americans. Edwards, meanwhile, did not lead the poll on any issue.
Source: "Gallup Election Review: October 2007", Gallup
Published by L. Robinson
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8 Comments
Post a CommentHillary is a Lesbian or at least bisexual. The Clinton marriage is a sham and a show for the American public. Bill Clinton is infected with veneral diseases and has raped women. Hillary is aware of all of this and she stands by Bill because maintaining the appearance of a nuclear family is critical for Hillary's image. Chelsea is the daughter of Webster Hubbell. Google: Clinton Mena Arkansas Cocaine Bush Clinton
I don't understand how you can make these insinuations about Mrs. Clinton. Rumors are spread maliciously about her everyday. The biggest one being that she is a "lesbian", never mind the fact that she's married, and has publicly stated that she is not a lesbian. If you google the speech she gave back in the 60's, to her graduating class at college, you will find that she has always been concerned with social issues. She hasn't wavered at all.
"What a joke this election has been. Hillary is getting nothing but favorable press everyday for a year and has not been held to any standard."
I don't understand how you can make these insinuations about Mrs. Clinton. Rumors are spread maliciously about her everyday. The biggest one being that she is a "lesbian", never mind the fact that she's married, and
has publicly stated that she is not a lesbian.
If you google the speech she gave back in the
60's, to her graduating class at college, you will find
that she has always been concerned with social issues.
She hasn't wavered at all.
Well I'll be voting for her :) Nice article.
Let's face it, the media has a larger impact on the voters' decision than anything else. If voters know nothing about a candidate, they won't vote for him or her. If a candidate's particular mistake or gaffe is focused on extensively, people will be less likely to vote for that candidate. Though Bush has made a fool of himself on countless occasions, the media never pays as much attention to it as they did to the "Dean scream." If the media didn't like Mitt Romney, they could just show over and over again him dropping that piece of chicken on the ground, picking it up, and putting it in the container for someone else to eat. Basically, the media controls the voters' perceptions, and it has its own financial interests.
I don't think it's quote so simple, "hillary supporter". The media has been obsessed with making Hillary the "front-runner" and focusing all the coverage on her since the beginning. In the debates and interviews, lackies like George Stephanopoulos (or however you spell his name) acted as if the other candidates had already lost and kept asking them questions about Hillary. They made much of John Edwards' "$400 haircut", as if most of the other candidates aren't extremely rich, and never gave any serious attention to Richardson or Kucinich, as if one weren't a Governor and the other a Congressman.
to dlake -
your opinion does not count, its the opinion of the majority that counts. if the voters support her, there IS NOTHING YOU CAN DO.
What a joke this election has been.
Hillary is getting nothing but favorable press everyday for a year and has not been held to any standard.
She has a poor record in the Senate, has a history of failures and poor judgment but, because of nepotism is the darling of the media and has had nothing but a daily cheerleading about her.
Barack Obama has gotten where he is by hard work and talent yet has faced the press dumping on him everyday for the whole campaign. And if they can;t find something to trash him over, they simply make up some controversy and shout about it for days.
Hillary did not do anything to deserve the presidency and like Bush, is being marketed by the press, though she is an inferior candidate to the others running but, will become another disaster this country can ill afford because of her 'connections' and not because she deserves the job.