Presidential Polls in Arizona
With the 2000 census, Arizona's share of the 538 electoral votes rose from 8 to 10, increasing the electoral importance of this fast-growing state.
Because Sen. McCain represents Arizona, the Grand Canyon state is predicted to fall squarely in the Republican category in this year's election. In fact, in a survey of three recent polls in Arizona surveying likely voters, all show a nearly double digit or greater lead for McCain. A phone survey of 577 Arizonans conducted by the Arizona State University Cronkite School of Journalism and KAET Television from April 24th to the 27th gave McCain a 47% to 38% advantage over Obama.
The most recent measure, from the Rocky Mountain Poll, conducted between May 12th and 20th, shows a similar margin with McCain leading Obama 50% to 39%. In their press release, they note that this margin if victory is "smaller ... than one might expect for a favorite son," indicating that Arizona could be more of a battleground state than originally assumed.
The outlier in the group is a phone survey of 500 Arizonans conducted by Rasmussen and released April 21st. This poll shows Senator McCain leading Senator Obama 57% to 37%, a 20 point spread.
Taken together, the polls suggest that Arizona is firmly behind John McCain, with a large, but not insurmountable, margin separating him from Barack Obama. Key issues in Arizona are likely to be dominated by the economy as well as immigration. With a quickly growing Hispanic population, the candidate who is able to capture this demographic will have a big advantage on election night.
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Post a CommentOKAY THEY ARE SAYING THAT MCCAIN LEADS BARRACK OBAMA LETS LOOK AT THE OBVIOUS THAT KIDS LIKE ME SHOULD ALSO VOTE ONLINE
So we went solidly for W. twice in a row, and now AZ is proudly marching down the same path again? Seriously?
I walk around Tucson and the people I talk to are fairly well informed and reasonable - where are all these goofballs hiding?
As a former long term Arizonan, God save the nation if McCain wins, as he has done more to harm Arizona and Arizonans due to his 'open borders' support, and rape of the elderly during the Keating disaster - than any of the other previously corrupted governmental officials - including Symington and Mecham, who were both impeached.
The Senator from Arizona is really not from Arizona at all, as his record makes abundantly clear on the issues that Arizonans have consistently been concerned with - namely, the loss of property and increase in crime that the open borders have created - while he's wined and dined and courted the developers.
And Obama will be eaten alive by this corrupted Congress. What a sad state of affairs at the present time for America and Americans.
The National Popular Vote bill has been approved by 18 legislative chambers (one house in Colorado, Arkansas, Maine, North Carolina, Rhode Island, and Washington, and two houses in Maryland, Illinois, Hawaii, California, and Vermont). It has been enacted into law in Hawaii, Illinois, New Jersey, and Maryland. These states have 50 (19%) of the 270 electoral votes needed to bring this legislation into effect.
See http://www.NationalPopularVote.com
The real issue is not how well Obama or McCain might do in the closely divided battleground states, but that we shouldn't have battleground states and spectator states in the first place. Every vote in every state should be politically relevant in a presidential election. And, every vote should be equal. We should have a national popular vote for President in which the White House goes to the candidate who gets the most popular votes in all 50 states.
The National Popular Vote bill would guarantee the Presidency to the candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states (and DC). The bill would take effect only when enacted, in identical form, by states possessing a majority of the electoral votesâ€"that is, enough electoral votes to elect a President (270 of 538). When the bill comes into effect, all the electoral votes from those states would be awarded to the presidential candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states (and DC).
The major