If you play fantasy baseball, you'll want to zero in on as many of these starters as possible, because they are a little less risky than taking equivalent talent pitchers who play in parks that favor the hitters. Always draft talent first, but take into account how the park any particular player plays in will effect that players talent, and ultimately, the players stats.
John Smoltz - will be 40 years old this year. Solid last year. Average year is: 14-10, 3.27 ERA, 7.9 K's and 2.7 BB's. His career ERA is just 79% of the League average ERA (LERA). Solid pitcher, 193 Career Wins and 154 Career Saves and counting.
Dontrelle Willis - average year is 15-10, 3.44 ERA, 6.7 K's and 2.8 BB's. Was only 12-12 last year, but look for him to rebound this year, and you might get him a little lower in drafts this year. Career ERA is 84% of LERA.
Barry Zito - 29 year old's average year is: 15-9, 3.55 ERA (79% of LERA), 6.9 K's and 3.5 BB's. Has made 34 or 35 starts each of past 6 years. Move to the National League should help boost his K rate a little. If he can just lower his BB total a bit, he can win his second Cy Young this year.
Jake Peavey - average year is: 11-9, 3.51 ERA (88% of LERA), 8.9 K's and 2.9 BB's. Bad overall year last year, going just 11-14 with 4.09 ERA. Still, he K'd 9.6, and was battling an injury much of the year. Look for him to rebound in a big way this year. Another one who might drop a little in drafts.
Jason Schmidt - like the move to the Dodgers for him. Should help his stats. Average year is: 13-9, 3.91 ERA (91% of LERA), 8.0 K's and 3.5 BB's. 34 years old.
Derek Lowe - average year is: 16-10, 3.81 ERA (83% of LERA), 5.8 K's and 2.6 BB's. Move to Chavez Ravine has really helped his career. Has recorded ERA's of 3.61 and 3.63 over last two years in Dodgerland. Prime example of how where a player plays effects his stats.
Chris Young - can somebody please explain to me why the Rangers traded this guy? Average year is: 13-5, 3.93 ERA (89% of LERA), 7.8 K's and 2.9 BB's. ERA went from 4.26 in Texas to 3.46 in San Diego. K rate also went up, from 7.5 to 8.2. And for Adam Eaton? C'Mon. Can pitch on my fantasy team, if healthy.
Tim Hudson - OK, here's a pitcher I would not touch if he pitched in a hitters park. Average year is: 15-8, 3.53 ERA (78% of LERA), 6.3 K's and 2.9 BB's. Terrible ERA last year of 4.86. Look for him to do better this year. Has pitched entire career in pitchers parks in Oakland and Atlanta.
Brad Penny - average year is 12-10, 4.06 ERA (96% of LERA), 6.6 K's and 2.8 BB's. Solid year last year going 16-9. K rate was up to 7.1 also. Another pitcher I wouldn't touch in a hitters park, but in LA he's got value.
Greg Maddux - Mad Dog's average year is 16-10, 3.07 ERA (74% of LERA), 6.2 K's and 1.8 BB's. Was 9-11 with 4.69 ERA in 22 starts for the Cubs, and 6-3 with 3.30 ERA in 12 starts for the Dodgers. Going from a hitters park to a pitchers park was a panacea for him. San Diego is another pretty good pitchers park, so look for him to be OK this year. 41 years old this year.
Tom Glavine - average year is: 15-10, 3.46 ERA (83% of LERA), 5.4 K's and 3.0 BB's. Had a 3.82 ERA last year in a pitchers park, so I'm leary of him this year. Needs just 10 wins for 300, so he'll be motivated. Will be 41 this year.
Matt Morris - 32 years old. Average year is: 14-10, 3.79 ERA (90% of LERA), 6.3 K's and 2.5 BB's. First year in SF was not good, 10-15 with 4.98 ERA. K rate dropped to only 5.1. Will probably be there very late in most drafts, so I'll take him to fill out my roster. Should rebound a little from last year, he is a quality pitcher.
Randy Wolf - 30 years old. Health is a big issue with him. Average year is: 12-10, 4.21 ERA (98% of LERA), 7.4 K's and 3.4 BB's. Move to the Dodgers should help him be a very productive fantasy pitcher, if he's healthy.
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