The Bismarck Prophecy - Did Bismarck Predict the Rise of Japan

Did a German Aristocrat Foresee Both World Wars and Their Outcomes

Tony Payne
While doing some research for a book, I came across an article today regarding Count Otto Von Bismarck, the Chancellor of Germany (nicknamed "The Iron Chancellor") that I thought very interesting and that I thought you might also find rather humorous and yet at the same time very profound and prophetic.

The Launceston Examiner (Australia) from 26th September 1904 contains this article:

The following story has been told at Antwerp by a Japanese inhabitant: At the Berlin Congress in 1878, Prince Bismarck presented to Lords Beaconsfield and Salisbury, the Japanese Minister - a small man, on whose shoulders he laid his heavy hand, saying: "I introduce you to Tom Thumb, sent here by other Tom Thumbs; but he will not lack some sleeping giant to make him put on seven-league boots, and he will grow. I assure you.

The growth of the Japanese Empire as we all know, caused a major upheaval in the Pacific in the late 1930's, culminating in the attack on Pearl Harbor on 7th December 1941, which brought the USA into World War II, and as a result had a great impact on the outcome of the war with Germany.

This news item alone is very far sighted, given that it dates back to 1878, however doing more research on Count Otto Von Bismarck, it seems that this is not the only prophetic remark that he made regarding the world wars.

Another article, this time from the New York Times on 4th April 1922, refers to another prophecy by Otto Von Bismarck, which was previously unpublished (as of 1922), and which was made in a letter to the Prussian Minister for War, on 24th December 1886.

If God wills that we shall be defeated in the next war, then there can be no doubt that our victorious opponents will halt at no expedient to prevent us from getting on our feet again, as least not for a generation, just as they did in 1807.

The prophecy of course refers to the First World War, 1914-1918, where Germany was defeated, and under the terms of the Treaty of Versailles, signed by Germany on 28th June 1919, the German army was limited to a maximum of 100,000 men, and a ban placed upon the use of heavy artillery, gas, tanks and aircraft. The German navy was similarly restricted to shipping under 10,000 tons, with a ban on submarines.

It makes you wonder doesn't it.

Was Count Otto Von Bismarck just a clever man with a deep insight into the long term plans for Germany as a nation that was recently united into one and lying in the center of Western Europe, realizing that sooner or later Germany would need to expand, and that potential enemies lay both to the east and the west.

Did he also read into the arrogance and attitude of the Japanese Minister something that foretold that the Japanese Empire would at some future date be expanding along similar lines.

Was Count Otto Von Bismarck just a very wise individual, or did he really see into the future?

Sources:

The Launceston Examiner

New York Times

Treaty Of Versailles

Published by Tony Payne

Tony Payne is a freelance writer who lives on the South Coast of England with his wife Debbie. He has worked in the IT Industry all his life, and has been writing on various sites for the last 10 years. T...  View profile

17 Comments

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  • Shelly Barclay12/23/2010

    I'm with Patricia.

  • Patricia Sicilia12/19/2010

    History always repeats itself, and I think that's just what Bismarck was foreseeing.

  • Charlotte Kuchinsky12/13/2010

    Intriguing piece of work.

  • Linda Louise Johnson12/13/2010

    Interesting to ponder.

  • Sivaramakrishnan Ananthanarayanan12/13/2010

    Tony, We can base our views on certain trends; there are some futurologists around all the time. But what Bismarck foresaw looks remarkable indeed. Now there are many imponderables,and we require great wisdom to prevent another world war. Our innings is still too short compared to others! siva

  • Michele Starkey12/13/2010

    Certainly a fascinating find, Tony. It makes you wonder doesn't it? cheers :) Thanks for sharing this.

  • Candice L. Collins12/13/2010

    good write up, indeed, very interesting!

  • Tony Payne12/13/2010

    It's great to look through old newspapers. So much fun now that they are digitized too.

  • Mike Oberg12/12/2010

    Interesting! The Germans have had such great scientists, musicians, and authors, it is amazing what the country could have been if not for some overly aggressive leaders!

  • leroy coffie12/12/2010

    very interesting Tony

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