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The Observationalist

H. Michael Mogil
First there was "The Mentalist," the hit CBS series that focuses on Patrick Jane's (played by Simon Baker) ability to use his mind to find clues, piece them together and, in the process, mess with the minds of others.

Now comes "The Observationalist," played by yours truly.

I didn't assume the role. Rather, Joseph Williams, Jr. provided it. Williams was a counselor and science assistant at Howard University's summer 2009 Weather Camp and I was the Camp's Director. Williams caught me "observing everything around me - bricks on walls, sidewalks, people and especially the clouds." Shortly after giving me my alter ego, Williams started becoming an observationalist himself (Fig.1). He told me that he had never looked up to see the clouds (even though he was a graduate chemistry major).

In fact, developing a keen sense of observational skills is what most detective shows and movies are all about. What do you see and, more importantly, what DOESN'T fit? What does fit is easy to accept. What doesn't is out of place for a reason (usually, but not always, related to the crime).

I don't solve too many mysteries in real life (although I do get involved a bit as an expert witness in event reconstruction for weather-related lawsuits). But as a practicing meteorologist, I have to always look for weather-related clues in the clouds (Fig. 2), radar and satellite images and even computer model weather forecasts. In a similar sense, my wife and I operate a math-tutoring center in Naples, Florida. Here we emphasize to our tutees that solving math problems is much like solving a crime. What information is there, how do the pieces fit together, who did it (a.k.a., the answer)? Even the numbers themselves have patterns that beg to be discovered. In several college-level classes and teacher enhancement programs I have taught, I have emphasized observational skill building. Yes, my goal is have everyone be better observers, especially of the natural world around us.

And I am not alone. Most other professions require keen observational skills (although they are often not emphasized). Football quarterbacks have to be consummate observers. Otherwise, they couldn't constantly scan the landscape and find an open receiver. Police have to find the one driver that is driving most erratically or the fastest. Artists have to "see" their world in order to paint it.

Perhaps Louis Pasteur, noted French chemist and microbiologist (1822-1895), understood best. He noted, "In the fields of observation, chance favors only the prepared mind."

But one doesn't need a career to be an observationalist. Just looking at patterns in our natural world can be fun. For example, I love the banded patterns in many cloud types (Fig. 2) and the patterns contained within flower heads and the insects that visit them (Fig. 3). Wave patterns at the beach fascinate me, especially when the waves interact with one another (Fig. 4). Take me a road trip through the Desert Southwest and I am in awe at the rock formations that grace the landscape. And, I ALWAYS grab a window seat on the airplane. After all, it is the closest I will ever come to being an astronaut, so why not observe the Earth as many others do not (Fig. 5)? Still, birdwatchers, as a huge group, may be the consummate observationalists.

I am not sure where and when I became an observationalist. But I know I was one at 9 years old (that's back in1954). I recall watching from my New York City apartment window as several hurricanes blew wildly by. And that observational experience pushed me over the brink into a lifetime weather career.

With my first camera (and more and more advanced technology ever since the late 1960's), I have had a chance to be a photographic observationalist. This lets me document what I see and share my observations with others (as I have done a little bit here).

To further this end, I will start posting mini-slide shows at Associated Content that contain specific types of "things" or events. I have already posted two - "A Day At the Beach" and "New Year's Fireworks," both centered on Naples, FL. Several on clouds, flowers, and birds are in the works.

While I didn't discover the quote until after I developed my secondary character, Yogi Berra really nailed it when he said, "You can observe a lot by just watching." Yogi was right - You really can!

Published by H. Michael Mogil

I'm a meteorologist by education, a math tutor (and educational advocate) by chance, and a writer (including science, travel, home improvement and consumerism) by choice. Once upon a time I couldn't write w...  View profile

  • Everything around you - bricks on buildings, flowers, ocean waves, clouds and more begs to be observ
  • Many people use observational skills to do their job (but the skills are often not emphasized).
  • What doesn't fit is what stands out.
"You can observe a lot by just watching." - Yogi Berra quote

5 Comments

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  • H. Michael Mogil9/21/2009

    Glad you liked it. Thanks for reading it! M

  • Th twins Alexandra and Natalia9/20/2009

    Good article, Mike!

  • Joseph Williams Jr.9/16/2009

    Thanks for the shout out Mike I really appreciate it! Hope all is well!. Hope you continue being the "observationalist" that you have been all along.

  • Weather Camp Student. 9/16/2009

    Being an "observationalist" I have read that model errors in handling the track of Super Typhoon Choi-Wan(STY C-W) can significantly alter the CONUS(continental US) pattern being depicted by the models currently due to mishandling of the transition of STY C-W to an extra-tropical storm,so far model guidance is only good out to the forecast period D4 on HPC current surface map. Is it true that errors of models can significantly alter the forecast of period D5?

  • Mary Ann9/16/2009

    Great article, Mike! From now on, I'll call you "The Big O". How about a series on Fibonacci patterns? I love finding them in nature.

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