Using Technical Indicators for Identifying the Forex Trends

Kevin Nurmi
Any trader shall define a trend as a predictable but changing price response at support - or resistance levels. The trend is a friend to every trader, but sometimes, even best friends have to part. It usually happens when a trend makes an abrupt counter-move and activates the trailing stop at a loss. That is enough to comprehend identifying the profitable trends. With trendlines, you can mark these levels, by using the support level as the floor and the resistance level as the ceiling. If prices break through any of these levels, it's a signal for a trend's movement to continue.

The first step towards making an indicator work is confirming the authenticity of a trend. A combination of various technical indicators is the tool that's most effective in this aspect; it shall help ensure a trend, potential enough to stay up for long. However, since trends make currencies move their direction naturally because of factors like long-term macro-economy and short-term capital (international) flows, detecting a lasting, trade-friendly trend is tough, especially when it is still developing. With historical charts, it is equally easy.

To identify a new trend, the trendlines help focus your attention on finding support and resistance levels, the first step being drawing trendlines that cover extensive timeframes (daily/weekly charts) and then forwarding into the shorter timeframes (hourly/4-hourly) to highlight the support and resistance levels that are most important. You will not lose the developments occurring in the major trends again, even in a market that's trading sideways.

While you may stay satiated consulting the price charts, fact remains you will only be able to identify suitable market trends for carrying out a successful trade. Use the technical indicators; you shall be judging the strength and sustainability of the favorable trends.

This alone shows what technical indicators can do for you. For example, if an indicator suggests a reversal, a careful observation shall help you confirm the shift before an action, which might well mean holding back for another period to confirm with another. With patience, signals can be read accurately for an according response.

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages, the most widely used indicators. These are overlaid lines on a chart, averaging out short-term fluctuations in the prices for predicting the long-term price trends. Traders can verify existing trends while identifying emerging ones; moreover, they allow viewing over-extended trends that are about to face a reversal. So, while a simple moving average shall weigh each price point equally over a specified period (these price points are later added together and averaged, forming a line) with the trader defining the use of the highs, the lows and the closed, a weighted moving average emphasizes more on the latest data available, smoothening out a price-curve and making more responsive averages to a recent change in price. There is also another indicator - exponential moving average, which is defined as a percentage of the most recent price multiplied by the previous period's average price. However, it requires time to find the best moving averages and period for the pair you are trading.

  • To identify a new trend, the trendlines help focus your attention on finding support and resistance.
  • It requires time to find the best moving averages and period for the pair you are trading.
  • The first step towards making an indicator work is confirming the authenticity of a trend.
While you may stay satiated consulting the price charts, fact remains you will only be able to identify suitable market trends for carrying out a successful trade.

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