Despite what the mainstream media reports, Obama is not in the lead in this race for delegates. Managing only to win states like Utah and Alaska, Obama failed to gain very much in the large states. Here's the breakdown on his delegate count:
Pledged-831
Feb5th-767
Super-106
Total=937
Now it is possible that both the Obama Campaign and the Mainstream media just simply cannot figure out the math, but it also could be that the media favors the young Illinois Senator. I cannot fault the Obama campaign in wanting to put a positive twist to their Super Tuesday results, but I want to be accurately informed about the current status of this strung out election. To be fare, I want to breakdown Hillary Clintons delegate count to show in contrast who is in fact in the lead:
Pledged-840
Feb5th-790
Super-193
Total=1,033
Obviously Hillary is in the lead. For now, she is ahead of Obama, but this will change as we go into caucus states where Obama is widely projected to gain many delegates. Hillary Clinton will win her fare share of delegates as well, but it looks like-in the polls, that is-that Obama will trump her by a slim margin. That will change once we bypass the 5 remaining caucus states, and head to the March primaries in states Hillary dominates with large support. In Ohio, Texas, and PA, Hillary stands to gain the delegates she needs to win the Democratic Party Nomination. Obama will have no choice but to drop out soon after, in order to begin the healing that needs to take place if the party is to win the general election come November. I could be wrong in my assessment, but all evidence shows that I am simply onto something.
The general election will be interesting, and for the record books to boot. McCain, no doubt, will be the Republican nominee, who will run on a national security platform. His strategy will be very much like the one he has used all throughout the primary season, but he will need to modify it to appeal more towards both moderates and conservatives. This will be a tricky balancing act, one in which no other candidate has ever pulled off aside from Reagan. Hillary will run on a platform very much like the one she has run on all throughout the primary season, as well. She will need to appeal to those suburban women who are deeply concerned with national security, and she will need to unite the youth vote with the senior citizen vote. If she does those two things, she will beat McCain; provided by a slim margin. 2008 is a year for the Democratic Party, but the new president will be for the people.
Resource:
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/
Published by cantor
Im a college student spending his time over the summer in florida paradise, and havin a great chill time. My career goals are in microfinance and public policy, and love a good campaign. ~*j.k.livin everyone! View profile
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