Zogby Poll: John McCain Up Five Points Over Obama

Mark Whittington
John McCain has pulled ahead by five points in the Zogby Poll, as reported by Reuters. While most other polls show the American Presidential a dead heat and Zogby has been known to have its share of misses, the news cannot be welcome at the Obama Campaign.

To be sure the John McCain Campaign has been very effective in defining Barack Obama negatively. From commercials comparing Barack Obama to Paris Hilton to questioning Barack Obama's ability to lead, John McCain has managed to keep on the offensive. While no doubt the Barack Obama Campaign will complain about "swift boating", Barack Obama has no one really to blame but himself.

The various Barack Obama stumbles during the primaries, from his unfortunate friendships with crazy preachers and creepy terrorists, to the "bittergate" remarks have been well documented. But Barack Obama's gaffe riot did not stop with him clinching the nomination. The Berlin Speech did not come off quite as intended. Barack Obama's various flip flops on issues ranging from oil drilling to space exploration have become the stuff of political legend. The joke is that Barack Obama's support for "change" includes his own campaign positions.

Barack Obama' stumble on the Russian rape of Georgia did not help either. Nor did his lackluster performance with Rick Warren benefit him. John McCain, far from sounding old, came across as energetic and decisive compared to Barack Obama.

The latest Barack Obama stumble concerns an incident when he was an Illinois State Senator when he appeared to come out in favor of infanticide. A bill was introduced in the Illinois State Legislature to require that babies having been born alive after botched late term abortions be afforded medical care. It seems that far too many hospitals in Illinois were just setting such babies aside to die, sort of a form of the ancient custom of "exposing" an unwanted infant, albeit in a hospital storage room and not on a hillside somewhere for the wolves to come. Barack Obama was the only Illinois State Senator to oppose the bill, something that creeps out even most pro choice people. Obama's various excuses remain unconvincing.

The immediate future doesn't look much better for Barack Obama. He may hope that his selection of a running mate will jump start his campaign, but such things can backfire more often than not. And then Barack Obama faces a convention where disaffected Hillary Clinton supporters will be inside the hall and various lunatics aching to riot will be outside the hall.

If things get any worse, Barack Obama may find himself looking back at his five point deficit in the Zogby Poll with nostalgia.

Sources: Reuters/Zogby Poll: McCain Makes a Move, Takes 5-Point Lead Over Obama, Zogby International, August 20th, 2008
Candidates' Abortion Views Not So Simple, Jonathon Weisman, Washington Post, August 20th, 2008

Published by Mark Whittington

Mark R. Whittington is a writer residing in Houston, Texas. He is the author of The Last Moonwalker, Children of Apollo, Dark Sanction, and Nocturne. He has written numerous articles, some for the Washington...  View profile

8 Comments

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  • Paul Bright8/21/2008

    I'm waiting for the poll in December that says " Did you vote in an online poll for President? If so, did you go to a voting booth on Election Day and make that same choice?" Would be interesting to see the results.

  • Bryan Belrad8/21/2008

    Holy half-truths, Batman! We've got ourselves a Hannity head. So, am I to understand that the "latest" mistake Obama has made happened years ago, when he was just a state senator, and seeing it as such requires us to believe that his refusal to vote yeah on an item of legislation over hospitals that has more to do with morality than medicine somehow makes him pro-infanticide? What if it had been a bill requiring a prayer to be said before every surgery - would he be anti-religion for voting no on that? Of course not - the one has *nothing* to do with the other. Think about it, people - do you really want the government dictating how your doctor must carry out your medical care? Am I to understand that Conservatives now *want* the government to legislate our lives?

  • J. Michael Warner8/20/2008

    Great article and analysis. Very funny Bob, love the cockroach comparison!!

  • Bob8/20/2008

    Reminds me of the Far Side cartoon where the giant cockroach lying in an alley is talking to a bum saying: "I had it all: great job, great car, money, success, beautiful wife. Then one day someone shouted, 'Hey! He's just a big cockroach!'".

    NObama '08

  • Paul Bright8/20/2008

    Nice article, but polls are way easier for people to say who they prefer as to who will actually go out to the voting stations. If we could vote online, I would believe it :)

  • BlowHard8/20/2008

    Nice job Mark.

  • John Mario8/20/2008


    A good article. Thanks!

    I'm not surprised either. This really isn't upsetting because McCain has been consistently ahead in electoral college votes since McCain won the GOP nomination.

    I prefer Obama for president, but McCain's victory would not make me unhappy. The conservatives have been giving federal grants to Christian based organizations that help the poor and needy. The recognition that the poor and needy need more help is likely to take votes from Obama.

    With regard to Iraq, the Iraqis are demanding a time table for US troop withdrawal. That makes McCain's stand a moot point.

  • Kim Linton8/20/2008

    I'm not surprised. Excellent analysis Mark.

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